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Bundesliga
Referee: R Schröder
1–3
Full-time
Bayern Munich
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
5,2
Scored
1,0
4,2
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+3,2
This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
0%
80%
Points per game
0,2
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,2
4,8
Scored
0,6
4,0
Conceded
2,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+3,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

33% Possession 67%
10 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Greuther Furth 18. · Bayern Munich 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 5 4 1 0 +16 13
2 Wolfsburg 5 4 1 0 +5 13
3 Dortmund 5 4 0 1 +6 12
4 Leverkusen 5 3 1 1 +8 10
5 Mainz 5 3 1 1 +4 10
6 Freiburg 5 2 3 0 +2 9
7 FC Koln 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Union Berlin 5 1 3 1 -1 6
9 Hertha 5 2 0 3 -5 6
10 Hoffenheim 5 1 2 2 +1 5
11 Augsburg 5 1 2 2 -6 5
12 RB Leipzig 5 1 1 3 -1 4
13 Bielefeld 5 0 4 1 -2 4
14 Stuttgart 5 1 1 3 -3 4
15 Ein Frankfurt 5 0 4 1 -3 4
16 M'gladbach 5 1 1 3 -4 4
17 Bochum 5 1 0 4 -9 3
18 Greuther Furth 5 0 1 4 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Greuther Furth Bayern Munich
10′
T. Müller 0–1
Branimir Hrgota 🟨
20′
31′
J. Kimmich 0–2
L. Sané
44′
🟨 Leroy Sané
Half-time 0–2
48′
🟥 Benjamin Pavard
Nick Viergever 🟨
53′
61′
🔁 M. Sabitzer
↦ L. Sané
Dickson Abiama 🟨
67′
D. Abiama 🔁
↦ H. Nielsen
67′
68′
S. Griesbeck 1–2
own goal
A. Barry 🔁
↦ J. Willems
76′
T. Tillman 🔁
↦ S. Griesbeck
76′
C. Itten 🔁
↦ B. Hrgota
76′
76′
🔁 S. Gnabry
↦ T. Müller
Abdourahmane Barry 🟨
83′
J. Leweling 🔁
↦ J. Green
86′
86′
🔁 J. Stanišić
↦ N. Süle
87′
🔁 J. Musiala
↦ L. Goretzka
2–2 C. Itten
T. Tillman
87′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

4-3-3
30 S. Burchert G
24 N. Viergever D
15 J. Willems D
18 M. Meyerhöfer D
4 M. Bauer D
22 S. Griesbeck M
28 J. Dudziak F
33 P. Seguin M
37 J. Green M
16 H. Nielsen F
10 B. Hrgota F
Bench (9)
11 D. Abiama
32 A. Barry
21 T. Tillman
19 C. Itten
40 J. Leweling
1 M. Funk
14 H. Sarpei
13 M. Christiansen
8 N. Seufert

Coach: S. Leitl

Bayern Munich

3-4-2-1
1 M. Neuer G
4 N. Süle D
21 L. Hernández D
5 B. Pavard M
2 D. Upamecano D
19 A. Davies M
8 L. Goretzka M
6 J. Kimmich M
25 T. Müller F
9 R. Lewandowski F
10 L. Sané F
Bench (9)
18 M. Sabitzer
7 S. Gnabry
44 J. Stanišić
42 J. Musiala
20 B. Sarr
3 O. Richards
36 C. Früchtl
13 E. Choupo-Moting
23 T. Nianzou

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
U
12,09
B ✓
1,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,15
U2,5
5,34
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.