Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Verona
Juventus
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Napoli
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 |
Milan
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +14 | 28 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 |
Roma
|
10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 |
Atalanta
|
11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 6 |
Lazio
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |
Fiorentina
|
10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | +0 | 15 |
| 9 |
Sassuolo
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 |
Verona
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 12 |
| 11 |
Empoli
|
10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 |
Bologna
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 |
Torino
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | +1 | 11 |
| 14 |
Udinese
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |
Sampdoria
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |
Venezia
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 8 |
| 17 |
Spezia
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 18 |
Genoa
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 |
Salernitana
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 |
Cagliari
|
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Montipò
G
P. Dawidowicz
D
N. Casale
D
G. Simeone
F
Coach: I. Tudor
W. Szczęsny
G
A. Rabiot
M
R. Bentancur
M
Álvaro Morata
F
P. Dybala
F
Coach: M. Allegri
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Udinese
Verona
Verona
Lazio
Milan
Verona
Verona
Spezia
Genoa
Verona
L Marinelli · 94 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.