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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Zurich
U T S S U
3–3
Full-time
Basel
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,2
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
2,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
This season — Super League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 60%
55%
64%
Points per game
1,9
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
82%
36%
Both score Ø 69%
73%
64%
Average goals
4,2
3,1
Scored
2,4
2,4
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
24 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 3. · Basel 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Basel 11 7 4 0 +18 25
2 Young Boys 11 6 3 2 +15 21
3 Zurich 11 6 3 2 +6 21
4 Grasshoppers 11 3 5 3 +2 14
5 Lugano 10 4 2 4 +0 14
6 Servette 11 3 3 5 -6 12
7 St. Gallen 12 3 3 6 -9 12
8 Sion 11 3 3 5 -10 12
9 Luzern 11 1 6 4 -5 9
10 Lausanne 11 1 4 6 -11 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Sep -21 Basel – Zurich 3–1 15. May -21 Basel – Zurich 4–0 14. Feb -21 Zurich – Basel 2–0 23. Jan -21 Basel – Zurich 1–4 4. Nov -20 Zurich – Basel 1–0

Match report

Zurich Basel
29′
⚽ Arthur Cabral 0–1
P. Kasami
43′
🟨 Michael Lang
Half-time 1–1
1–1 N. Boranijašević ⚽
Adrià Guerrero
47′
48′
⚽ D. Ndoye 1–2
Arthur Cabral
1–3 F. Frei ⚽
own goal
53′
W. Gnonto 🔁
↦ M. Leitner
61′
61′
🔁 Sergio López
↦ M. Lang
63′
⚽ L. Millar 1–4
Arthur Cabral
68′
🔁 W. Burger
↦ D. Males
71′
🟨 Pajtim Kasami
A. Gogia 🔁
↦ Adrià Guerrero
73′
A. Ćorić 🔁
↦ O. Doumbia
73′
83′
🟨 Tomás Tavares
R. Pollero 🔁
↦ F. Aliti
84′
84′
🔁 V. Stocker
↦ D. Ndoye
84′
🔁 Jordi Quintillà
↦ F. Frei
Assan Ceesay 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Wouter Burger
2–4 A. Ceesay ⚽
N. Boranijašević
95′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Zurich

3-4-1-2
25 Y. Brecher G
19 N. Boranijašević M
6 F. Aliti D
31 M. Kryeziu D
3 Adrià Guerrero M
4 B. Omeragić D
21 B. Džemaili F
10 A. Marchesano F
78 M. Leitner M
20 O. Doumbia M
9 A. Ceesay F
Bench (9)
22 W. Gnonto
39 A. Gogia
24 A. Ćorić
29 R. Pollero
23 F. Rohner
2 L. Kamberi
34 G. De Nitti
16 M. Hornschuh
7 B. Krasniqi

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 H. Lindner G
5 M. Lang D
21 A. Pelmard D
30 Tomás Tavares D
6 N. Djiga D
20 F. Frei M
7 P. Kasami M
19 D. Males M
10 Arthur Cabral F
17 L. Millar M
27 D. Ndoye M
Bench (9)
22 Sergio López
23 W. Burger
14 V. Stocker
8 Jordi Quintillà
46 F. Gebhardt
96 Joelson Fernandes
28 R. Petretta
4 E. Cömert
35 M. Palacios

Coach: P. Rahmen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.