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Süper Lig
Referee: C Çakιr
Hatayspor
S T S S U
1–0
Full-time
Besiktas
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,5
4,2
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
50%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,9
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
9 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 9
4 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 2. · Besiktas 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 11 8 3 0 +12 27
2 Hatayspor 10 6 2 2 +11 20
3 Besiktas 10 6 2 2 +8 20
4 Alanyaspor 10 6 2 2 +1 20
5 Fenerbahce 10 6 1 3 +3 19
6 Karagumruk 10 5 3 2 +4 18
7 Konyaspor 10 4 5 1 +5 17
8 Galatasaray 10 5 2 3 +1 17
9 Altay 10 5 0 5 +0 15
10 Ad. Demirspor 10 3 4 3 +0 13
11 Buyuksehyr 10 4 0 6 +0 12
12 Gaziantep 10 3 3 4 -2 12
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 11 4 0 7 -8 12
14 Sivasspor 10 2 5 3 +2 11
15 Kayserispor 10 3 2 5 -4 11
16 Kasimpasa 11 2 3 6 -4 9
17 Giresunspor 10 2 3 5 -4 9
18 Antalyaspor 10 2 3 5 -5 9
19 Goztep 10 2 2 6 -5 8
20 Rizespor 11 1 1 9 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hatayspor Besiktas
1–0 S. Lobzhanidze
A. El Kaabi
6′
24′
🔁 K. Karaman
↦ M. Batshuayi
45′
🟨 Alex Teixeira
Half-time 1–0
68′
🔁 M. Topal
↦ A. Hutchinson
68′
🔁 S. Uçan
↦ N. Uysal
D. Saint-Louis 🔁
↦ A. El Kaabi
71′
M. Kamara 🔁
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
71′
74′
ℹ️ Mehmet Topal
VAR: Goal confirmed
Mehdi Boudjemaa 🟨
80′
82′
🔁 G. Töre
↦ R. Ghezzal
82′
🔁 G. Yalçın
↦ Alex Teixeira
M. Mert 🔁
↦ M. Boudjemaa
85′
Adama Traoré 🟨
88′
Mohammed Kesselly Kamara 🟨
98′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hatayspor

4-3-3
1 M. Mohamedi G
12 K. Çörekçi D
23 S. Adekugbe D
53 B. Öksüz D
22 F. Kurucuk D
7 Rúben Ribeiro M
11 S. Lobzhanidze F
17 N. Traoré M
8 M. Boudjemaa M
92 M. Diouf F
25 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (10)
95 D. Saint-Louis
20 M. Kamara
19 M. Mert
6 S. Falette
77 S. Baş
31 A. Yiğiter
61 B. Cevahir
2 B. Çamoglu
87 E. Fansa
10 E. Çolak

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
30 E. Destanoğlu G
24 D. Vida D
77 U. Meraş D
2 V. Rosier D
4 Javi Montero D
13 A. Hutchinson M
90 Alex Teixeira M
20 N. Uysal M
18 R. Ghezzal M
9 M. Batshuayi F
17 C. Larin M
Bench (10)
28 K. Karaman
14 M. Topal
8 S. Uçan
11 G. Töre
50 G. Yalçın
23 Welinton
3 R. Yılmaz
12 C. Bozdoğan
34 M. Günok
10 O. Özyakup

Coach: S. Yalçın

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,77
U
3,57
B
2,37
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,23
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Çakιr · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.