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Bundesliga
Referee: Guido Winkmann
Stuttgart
T T T S T
1–0
Full-time
Wolfsburg
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
8 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
5 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 14. · Wolfsburg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hannover 4 3 1 0 +4 10
2 Dortmund 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Hoffenheim 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 RB Leipzig 3 2 0 1 +3 6
5 Schalke 04 3 2 0 1 +3 6
6 Bayern Munich 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Hamburg 4 2 0 2 -1 6
8 Augsburg 3 1 1 1 +2 4
9 Hertha 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 M'gladbach 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Wolfsburg 3 1 1 1 -2 4
13 Mainz 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Stuttgart 3 1 0 2 -3 3
15 Freiburg 3 0 2 1 -3 2
16 Werder Bremen 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Leverkusen 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 FC Koln 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Wolfsburg
26′
🟨 Koen Casteels
1–0 C. Akolo
42′
45′
🟨 William
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 P. Verhaegh
↦ William
Santiago Ascacibar 🟨
66′
66′
🔁 P. Ntep
↦ L. Dimata
J. Brekalo 🔁
↦ A. Donis
67′
T. Asano 🔁
↦ S. Terodde
72′
O. Mangala 🔁
↦ C. Akolo
77′
79′
🔁 Y. Mallı
↦ D. Didavi
Andreas Beck 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Paul Verhaegh
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
16 R. Zieler G
32 A. Beck D
3 D. Aogo M
35 M. Kamiński D
5 T. Baumgartl D
21 B. Pavard D
20 C. Gentner M
6 S. Ascacíbar M
9 S. Terodde F
14 A. Donis F
19 C. Akolo F
Bench (7)
7 J. Brekalo
11 T. Asano
23 O. Mangala
22 E. Ofori
24 D. Burnic
26 A. Meyer
29 Ailton

Coach: H. Wolf

Wolfsburg

3-4-1-2
1 K. Casteels G
31 R. Knoche D
13 Y. Gerhardt M
17 F. Uduokhai D
2 William D
4 Ignacio Camacho M
11 D. Didavi M
23 J. Guilavogui M
27 M. Arnold M
14 D. Origi F
9 L. Dimata F
Bench (7)
3 P. Verhaegh
7 P. Ntep
10 Y. Mallı
6 R. Bazoer
18 V. Osimhen
20 M. Grün
35 G. Itter

Coach: A. Jonker

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Guido Winkmann · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.