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Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Hartmann
Wolfsburg
U T U T S
1–1
Full-time
Stuttgart
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 25%
20%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
40%
35%
Both score Ø 48%
60%
35%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 13. · Stuttgart 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 20 16 2 2 +33 50
2 Dortmund 21 9 7 5 +16 34
3 Leverkusen 20 9 7 4 +14 34
4 Schalke 04 20 9 7 4 +7 34
5 Ein Frankfurt 20 9 6 5 +6 33
6 RB Leipzig 20 9 5 6 +3 32
7 M'gladbach 20 9 4 7 -2 31
8 Augsburg 20 7 7 6 +3 28
9 Hoffenheim 20 7 6 7 -1 27
10 Hannover 20 7 6 7 -2 27
11 Hertha 20 6 8 6 +0 26
12 Freiburg 20 5 9 6 -13 24
13 Wolfsburg 20 4 11 5 -1 23
14 Stuttgart 20 6 2 12 -10 20
15 Mainz 20 5 5 10 -11 20
16 Werder Bremen 20 3 8 9 -9 17
17 Hamburg 20 4 4 12 -13 16
18 FC Koln 21 3 4 14 -20 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Stuttgart
1–0 D. Origi
Y. Mallı
24′
39′
🟨 Santiago Ascacibar
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Ginczek
↦ A. Donis
60′
M. Gómez 1–1
D. Aogo
A. Mehmedi 🔁
↦ R. Steffen
67′
J. Brekalo 🔁
↦ D. Didavi
81′
87′
🔁 O. Mangala
↦ D. Aogo
89′
🟨 Orel Mangala
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
3 P. Verhaegh D
5 J. Bruma D
31 R. Knoche D
29 M. Tisserand D
11 D. Didavi M
23 J. Guilavogui M
10 Y. Mallı M
27 M. Arnold M
8 R. Steffen M
14 D. Origi F
Bench (7)
22 A. Mehmedi
21 J. Brekalo
2 William
13 Y. Gerhardt
18 V. Osimhen
20 M. Grün
24 S. Jung

Coach: M. Schmidt

Stuttgart

4-2-3-1
16 R. Zieler G
32 A. Beck D
2 E. Insúa D
3 D. Aogo M
5 T. Baumgartl D
21 B. Pavard D
20 C. Gentner M
17 E. Thommy M
6 S. Ascacíbar M
27 M. Gómez F
14 A. Donis F
Bench (7)
33 D. Ginczek
23 O. Mangala
19 C. Akolo
24 D. Burnic
26 A. Meyer
31 B. Özcan
35 M. Kamiński

Coach: T. Korkut

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Hartmann · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.