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Bundesliga

Referee: T Welz

Hoffenheim

T U S S U

0–2

Full-time

RB Leipzig

U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 47%

40%

53%

Points per game

1,4

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

63%

70%

Both score Ø 64%

60%

67%

Average goals

3,1

3,6

Scored

1,4

2,5

Conceded

1,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

50% Possession 50%

22 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 7

7 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 1

4 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 7. · RB Leipzig 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	30	22	4	4	+60	70
2	Dortmund	30	19	6	5	+46	63
3	RB Leipzig	30	16	11	3	+43	59
4	M'gladbach	30	17	5	8	+21	56
5	Leverkusen	30	17	5	8	+16	56
6	Wolfsburg	30	12	9	9	+6	45
7	Hoffenheim	30	12	7	11	-8	43
8	Freiburg	30	11	8	11	-2	41
9	Hertha	30	10	8	12	-8	38
10	Schalke 04	30	9	11	10	-12	38
11	Ein Frankfurt	30	10	5	15	-6	35
12	FC Koln	30	10	5	15	-10	35
13	Augsburg	30	8	8	14	-16	32
14	Union Berlin	30	9	5	16	-18	32
15	Mainz	30	9	4	17	-23	31
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	30	6	10	14	-27	28
17	Werder Bremen	30	6	7	17	-33	25
18	Paderborn	30	4	8	18	-29	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	15	11	3	1	+35	36
2	Bayern Munich	15	11	2	2	+35	35
3	M'gladbach	15	10	2	3	+15	32
4	RB Leipzig	15	7	7	1	+19	28
5	Leverkusen	15	7	4	4	+7	25
6	Freiburg	15	7	2	6	+1	23
7	Ein Frankfurt	15	6	4	5	+7	22
8	FC Koln	15	6	3	6	+2	21
9	Union Berlin	15	6	3	6	+0	21
10	Schalke 04	15	5	6	4	-4	21
11	Augsburg	15	5	5	5	+2	20
12	Hoffenheim	15	6	1	8	-13	19
13	Wolfsburg	15	4	6	5	+0	18
14	Hertha	15	5	3	7	-8	18
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	4	5	6	-9	17
16	Mainz	15	4	2	9	-12	14
17	Paderborn	15	2	2	11	-19	8
18	Werder Bremen	15	1	3	11	-25	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	11	2	2	+25	35
2	RB Leipzig	15	9	4	2	+24	31
3	Leverkusen	15	10	1	4	+9	31
4	Dortmund	15	8	3	4	+11	27
5	Wolfsburg	15	8	3	4	+6	27
6	M'gladbach	15	7	3	5	+6	24
7	Hoffenheim	15	6	6	3	+5	24
8	Hertha	15	5	5	5	+0	20
9	Werder Bremen	15	5	4	6	-8	19
10	Freiburg	15	4	6	5	-3	18
11	Schalke 04	15	4	5	6	-8	17
12	Mainz	15	5	2	8	-11	17
13	FC Koln	15	4	2	9	-12	14
14	Ein Frankfurt	15	4	1	10	-13	13
15	Paderborn	15	2	6	7	-10	12
16	Augsburg	15	3	3	9	-18	12
17	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	2	5	8	-18	11
18	Union Berlin	15	3	2	10	-18	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.