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Bundesliga

Referee: Manuel Gräfe

Bayern Munich

S S S S S

5–2

Full-time

Hoffenheim

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Hoffenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 58%

79%

37%

Points per game

2,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

63%

53%

Both score Ø 50%

42%

58%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

58% Possession 42%

23 Shots 6

10 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 4

3 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 21

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · Hoffenheim 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	19	15	2	2	+30	47
2	Ein Frankfurt	20	9	6	5	+6	33
3	Leverkusen	19	8	7	4	+12	31
4	Schalke 04	19	8	7	4	+5	31
5	RB Leipzig	19	9	4	6	+3	31
6	M'gladbach	20	9	4	7	-2	31
7	Dortmund	19	8	6	5	+15	30
8	Augsburg	19	7	6	6	+3	27
9	Hoffenheim	19	7	6	6	+2	27
10	Hannover	19	7	6	6	-1	27
11	Hertha	19	6	7	6	+0	25
12	Freiburg	19	5	8	6	-13	23
13	Wolfsburg	19	3	11	5	-2	20
14	Stuttgart	19	6	2	11	-8	20
15	Mainz	19	5	5	9	-9	20
16	Werder Bremen	19	3	7	9	-9	16
17	Hamburg	19	4	3	12	-13	15
18	FC Koln	19	3	3	13	-19	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	9	8	1	0	+21	25
2	RB Leipzig	9	6	2	1	+9	20
3	M'gladbach	10	6	2	2	+4	20
4	Schalke 04	10	5	4	1	+6	19
5	Stuttgart	9	6	1	2	+5	19
6	Hannover	9	5	3	1	+7	18
7	Hoffenheim	10	5	3	2	+5	18
8	Freiburg	10	4	5	1	+3	17
9	Leverkusen	9	4	4	1	+7	16
10	Augsburg	10	4	4	2	+4	16
11	Mainz	10	5	1	4	+0	16
12	Hertha	10	4	3	3	+1	15
13	Dortmund	9	4	2	3	+9	14
14	Wolfsburg	10	2	6	2	+0	12
15	Ein Frankfurt	10	3	3	4	+0	12
16	Hamburg	10	3	2	5	-3	11
17	Werder Bremen	9	2	3	4	-3	9
18	FC Koln	9	2	1	6	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	7	1	2	+9	22
2	Ein Frankfurt	10	6	3	1	+6	21
3	Dortmund	10	4	4	2	+6	16
4	Leverkusen	10	4	3	3	+5	15
5	Schalke 04	9	3	3	3	-1	12
6	Augsburg	9	3	2	4	-1	11
7	M'gladbach	10	3	2	5	-6	11
8	RB Leipzig	10	3	2	5	-6	11
9	Hertha	9	2	4	3	-1	10
10	Hoffenheim	9	2	3	4	-3	9
11	Hannover	10	2	3	5	-8	9
12	Wolfsburg	9	1	5	3	-2	8
13	Werder Bremen	10	1	4	5	-6	7
14	Freiburg	9	1	3	5	-16	6
15	FC Koln	10	1	2	7	-11	5
16	Mainz	9	0	4	5	-9	4
17	Hamburg	9	1	1	7	-10	4
18	Stuttgart	10	0	1	9	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.