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Super League

Referee: L Cibelli

Winterthur

S T T T T

2–2

Full-time

Zurich

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Zurich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 21%

12%

29%

Points per game

0,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 78%

76%

79%

Both score Ø 68%

68%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

2,7

1,9

Goal diff per game

-1,6

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,82 xG 1,85

50% Possession 50%

18 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Winterthur 12. · Zurich 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	34	24	2	8	+37	+5.6	74
2	St. Gallen	34	18	9	7	+25	+10.2	63
3	Lugano	34	17	9	8	+13	-0.4	60
4	Sion	34	14	13	7	+18	+14.6	55
5	Basel	34	15	8	11	+4	+10.7	53
6	Young Boys	34	13	9	12	+4	-1.0	48
7	Luzern	34	11	10	13	+4	+2.5	43
8	Servette	34	10	13	11	+2	+9.6	43
9	Lausanne	34	11	9	14	-7	+1.7	42
10	Zurich	34	10	4	20	-21	-9.2	34
11	Grasshoppers	34	6	9	19	-26	-19.1	27
12	Winterthur	34	4	7	23	-53	-25.2	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	18	12	2	4	+21	+2.2	38
2	Lugano	16	10	3	3	+12	-0.8	33
3	St. Gallen	17	10	2	5	+13	+13.8	32
4	Sion	17	8	6	3	+13	+8.1	30
5	Young Boys	17	8	4	5	+15	+11.0	28
6	Basel	17	7	6	4	+8	+18.0	27
7	Servette	18	6	7	5	+6	+7.0	25
8	Lausanne	17	6	5	6	+4	+10.7	23
9	Zurich	17	6	1	10	-6	-0.3	19
10	Luzern	17	4	6	7	+3	+4.9	18
11	Grasshoppers	17	3	5	9	-7	-7.0	14
12	Winterthur	16	2	4	10	-18	-3.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	16	12	0	4	+16	+3.4	36
2	St. Gallen	17	8	7	2	+12	-3.6	31
3	Lugano	18	7	6	5	+1	+0.4	27
4	Basel	17	8	2	7	-4	-7.2	26
5	Sion	17	6	7	4	+5	+6.5	25
6	Luzern	17	7	4	6	+1	-2.4	25
7	Young Boys	17	5	5	7	-11	-12.0	20
8	Lausanne	17	5	4	8	-11	-9.0	19
9	Servette	16	4	6	6	-4	+2.6	18
10	Zurich	17	4	3	10	-15	-8.9	15
11	Grasshoppers	17	3	4	10	-19	-12.1	13
12	Winterthur	18	2	3	13	-35	-21.5	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.