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Super League

Referee: L Tschudi

Zurich

U T T T S

4–1

Full-time

Winterthur

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Winterthur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 35%

40%

29%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

51%

Both score Ø 52%

57%

46%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%

21 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zurich 7. · Winterthur 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	35	20	7	8	+47	+22.4	67
2	Servette	35	15	11	9	+5	-0.7	56
3	Young Boys	35	15	9	11	+6	+8.2	54
4	Luzern	35	14	10	11	+8	+9.5	52
5	Lugano	35	15	7	13	+0	+7.9	52
6	Lausanne	35	14	9	12	+9	+10.1	51
7	Zurich	35	14	8	13	-2	-1.2	50
8	St. Gallen	35	12	12	11	+0	-4.7	48
9	Sion	35	10	10	15	-9	-0.1	40
10	Winterthur	35	10	6	19	-24	-23.1	36
11	Yverdon	35	8	11	16	-24	-15.8	35
12	Grasshoppers	35	7	12	16	-16	-12.6	33

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	18	12	2	4	+24	+18.6	38
2	Young Boys	17	11	4	2	+19	+8.6	37
3	Lausanne	18	11	2	5	+14	+10.8	35
4	Luzern	18	9	5	4	+11	+12.2	32
5	Lugano	18	9	4	5	+3	+11.1	31
6	St. Gallen	17	8	6	3	+8	+6.3	30
7	Servette	17	8	6	3	+6	+5.3	30
8	Sion	17	7	7	3	+9	+11.4	28
9	Zurich	18	7	5	6	-1	-0.5	26
10	Yverdon	18	6	5	7	-4	-2.3	23
11	Winterthur	17	7	2	8	-6	-6.7	23
12	Grasshoppers	17	3	8	6	-3	+4.6	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	17	8	5	4	+23	+3.8	29
2	Servette	18	7	5	6	-1	-6.0	26
3	Zurich	17	7	3	7	-1	-0.7	24
4	Lugano	17	6	3	8	-3	-3.2	21
5	Luzern	17	5	5	7	-3	-2.7	20
6	St. Gallen	18	4	6	8	-8	-11.0	18
7	Young Boys	18	4	5	9	-13	-0.4	17
8	Lausanne	17	3	7	7	-5	-0.8	16
9	Grasshoppers	18	4	4	10	-13	-17.2	16
10	Winterthur	18	3	4	11	-18	-16.3	13
11	Sion	18	3	3	12	-18	-11.4	12
12	Yverdon	17	2	6	9	-20	-13.4	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.