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Super League

Referee: S Schärer

Zurich

S S T S U

3–0

Full-time

Lugano

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,3

This season — Super League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

15 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 2

3 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zurich 4. · Lugano 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.3	7
2	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.7	6
3	Servette	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.6	5
4	Zurich	2	1	1	0	+2	–	4
5	Luzern	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.3	4
6	Basel	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.4	3
7	St. Gallen	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.5	3
8	Lausanne	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.6	1
9	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.6	1
10	Yverdon	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.2	1
11	Lausanne Ouchy	3	0	1	2	-4	+0.7	1
12	Winterthur	3	0	1	2	-6	-2.5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.1	6
2	Basel	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
3	Zurich	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
4	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
5	Luzern	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
6	Lugano	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
7	Servette	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
8	Yverdon	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
9	Lausanne	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
10	Winterthur	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
11	Lausanne Ouchy	2	0	1	1	-3	+0.4	1
12	Grasshoppers	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.6	4
2	Lugano	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.2	3
3	Zurich	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
4	Young Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
5	Grasshoppers	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
6	Luzern	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
7	Basel	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
8	Lausanne Ouchy	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
9	Lausanne	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
10	St. Gallen	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
11	Yverdon	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
12	Winterthur	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.