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Super League

Referee: F San

Winterthur

U U S T T

1–3

Full-time

Zurich

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Zurich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,0

1,5

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 37%

38%

35%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

68%

47%

Both score Ø 62%

79%

44%

Average goals

3,4

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,53 xG 1,39

58% Possession 42%

14 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 17

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Winterthur 5. · Zurich 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	35	20	8	7	+36	+5.2	68
2	Lugano	35	19	5	11	+17	+11.4	62
3	Servette	34	17	9	8	+16	+27.9	60
4	St. Gallen	34	15	8	11	+10	+15.2	53
5	Winterthur	34	13	10	11	-2	-7.1	49
6	Zurich	34	12	12	10	+7	+0.3	48
7	Luzern	35	12	10	13	-5	+1.7	46
8	Yverdon	35	12	7	16	-21	-18.8	43
9	Basel	35	11	9	15	-10	-5.3	42
10	Lausanne	35	10	11	14	-7	+1.5	41
11	Grasshoppers	35	9	7	19	-9	-11.1	34
12	Lausanne Ouchy	35	6	8	21	-32	-20.9	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	17	13	2	2	+32	+7.6	41
2	Servette	18	11	4	3	+15	+19.7	37
3	Yverdon	18	11	4	3	+8	-4.6	37
4	St. Gallen	17	11	3	3	+16	+10.3	36
5	Luzern	18	9	5	4	+6	+2.9	32
6	Winterthur	17	9	4	4	+4	+0.5	31
7	Lugano	17	9	3	5	+9	+9.7	30
8	Zurich	17	7	7	3	+6	-0.4	28
9	Lausanne	17	7	6	4	+7	+7.0	27
10	Grasshoppers	17	7	3	7	+6	-3.1	24
11	Basel	17	6	5	6	+1	-1.6	23
12	Lausanne Ouchy	18	3	6	9	-17	-7.8	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	18	10	2	6	+8	+1.6	32
2	Young Boys	18	7	6	5	+4	-2.4	27
3	Servette	16	6	5	5	+1	+8.2	23
4	Zurich	17	5	5	7	+1	+0.7	20
5	Basel	18	5	4	9	-11	-3.7	19
6	Winterthur	17	4	6	7	-6	-7.7	18
7	St. Gallen	17	4	5	8	-6	+4.9	17
8	Luzern	17	3	5	9	-11	-1.3	14
9	Lausanne	18	3	5	10	-14	-5.6	14
10	Lausanne Ouchy	17	3	2	12	-15	-13.1	11
11	Grasshoppers	18	2	4	12	-15	-8.0	10
12	Yverdon	17	1	3	13	-29	-14.2	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.