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Super League
Referee: L Tschudi
0–1
Full-time
Winterthur
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Ouchy Winterthur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 28%
16%
39%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
65%
68%
Both score Ø 75%
68%
81%
Average goals
3,1
3,5
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,10 xG 1,83
52% Possession 48%
4 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 8
6 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lausanne Ouchy 12. · Winterthur 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 31 17 8 6 +32 +2.1 59
2 Lugano 32 17 5 10 +15 +10.4 56
3 Servette 32 15 9 8 +14 +25.2 54
4 Zurich 32 12 12 8 +10 +2.4 48
5 St. Gallen 32 13 8 11 +8 +14.3 47
6 Winterthur 31 12 10 9 -1 -7.2 46
7 Luzern 31 12 7 12 -3 +2.0 43
8 Lausanne 32 10 10 12 -3 +2.0 40
9 Basel 32 11 6 15 -10 -4.3 39
10 Yverdon 32 10 7 15 -24 -19.5 37
11 Grasshoppers 32 8 6 18 -9 -10.1 30
12 Lausanne Ouchy 31 5 8 18 -29 -17.2 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lausanne Ouchy Winterthur
Sahmkou Camara ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
27′
Sahmkou Camara 🟥
28′
44′
🟨 Adrian Gantenbein
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 N. Burkart
↦ A. Gantenbein
52′
ℹ️ Sayfallah Ltaief
VAR: Goal cancelled
I. Diakité 🔁
↦ L. Gassama
64′
67′
🔁 A. Turkes
↦ A. Baroan
68′
A. Turkes 0–1
B. Stillhart
V. Hamdiu 🔁
↦ R. Bayard
78′
V. Damaşcan 🔁
↦ A. Ajdini
78′
82′
🔁 T. Corbaz
↦ M. Di Giusto
M. Qarri 🔁
↦ E. Mahmoud
83′
Giovani Bamba 🔁
↦ E. Akichi
84′
90′
🔁 A. Durrer
↦ R. Schneider
90′
🔁 C. Chiappetta
↦ S. Ltaief
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Lausanne Ouchy

5-4-1
74 J. Vachoux G
27 L. Gassama D
4 L. Pos D
5 L. Hajrulahu D
49 S. Camara D
29 M. Abdallah D
28 E. Mahmoud M
8 R. Bayard M
24 E. Akichi M
14 Ismaël Gharbi M
17 A. Ajdini F
Bench (9)
26 I. Diakité
76 V. Hamdiu
11 V. Damaşcan
10 M. Qarri
6 Giovani Bamba
19 D. Ouedraogo
12 N. Noverraz
99 G. Kyeremateng
18 L. Mulaj

Coach: Ricardo Dionísio

Winterthur

4-2-3-1
33 M. Keller G
24 S. Sidler D
23 G. Lekaj D
21 L. Lüthi D
18 S. Diaby D
6 R. Schneider M
4 B. Stillhart M
19 A. Gantenbein M
10 M. Di Giusto M
70 S. Ltaief M
28 A. Baroan F
Bench (9)
99 N. Burkart
11 A. Turkes
14 T. Corbaz
22 A. Durrer
20 C. Chiappetta
15 M. Gonçalves
25 Y. Schmid
30 M. Kuster
29 B. Fofana

Coach: P. Rahmen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Tschudi · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.