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Eliteserien
Referee: M Grøtta
Tromso
T S T T T
4–0
Full-time
Odd
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Odd
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 5/7 matches
Win Ø 15%
0%
29%
Points per game
0,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
60%
57%
Both score Ø 49%
40%
57%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
0,6
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,6
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,89 xG 0,70
49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 8
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 16. · Odd 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 7 6 1 0 +13 +3.2 19
2 Brann 7 4 2 1 +6 +7.7 14
3 Molde 8 4 2 2 +5 +5.8 14
4 Fredrikstad 6 3 2 1 +3 +1.3 11
5 Rosenborg 7 3 1 3 -1 -5.3 10
6 Stromsgodset 6 3 1 2 -1 -0.9 10
7 Viking 6 2 3 1 +1 +5.5 9
8 KFUM Oslo 6 2 3 1 +1 +1.4 9
9 Kristiansund 7 2 3 2 -2 -1.0 9
10 Odd 7 2 2 3 -3 -7.6 8
11 Sarpsborg 08 6 2 1 3 +0 -1.8 7
12 Lillestrom 6 2 1 3 -4 -2.2 7
13 Haugesund 6 2 0 4 -4 -2.6 6
14 Sandefjord 5 1 1 3 -2 +1.5 4
15 Ham-Kam 7 0 3 4 -4 +0.7 3
16 Tromso 5 0 0 5 -8 -5.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Odd
C. Psyché 🔁
↦ T. Guddal
40′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 R. Jenssen
V. Erlien
49′
2–0 V. Erlien
A. Jenssen
51′
63′
🔁 B. Bang-Kittelsen
↦ F. Tewelde
63′
🔁 O. Midtskogen
↦ T. Svendsen
3–0 K. Antonsen
V. Erlien
70′
F. Winther 🔁
↦ J. Hjertø-Dahl
72′
3–1 A. Hansen
own goal
74′
M. Johnsgård 🔁
↦ J. Robertsen
76′
L. Nilsen 🔁
↦ K. Antonsen
76′
L. Nordås 🔁
↦ J. Romsaas
76′
76′
🔁 S. Aas
↦ B. Njie
76′
🔁 C. Glenna
↦ S. Skjeldal
81′
🔁 J. Skau
↦ M. Ingebrigtsen
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Tromso

3-5-2
1 J. Haugaard G
5 A. Jenssen D
21 T. Guddal D
4 V. Skjærvik D
3 J. Robertsen M
6 J. Hjertø-Dahl M
11 R. Jenssen M
8 K. Antonsen M
23 R. Norheim M
10 J. Romsaas F
15 V. Erlien F
Bench (8)
28 C. Psyché
7 F. Winther
18 M. Johnsgård
25 L. Nilsen
9 L. Nordås
14 M. Barry
30 I. Vådebu
12 S. Thomas

Coach: J. Vik

Odd

4-1-4-1
1 A. Hansen G
13 S. Skjeldal D
14 M. Ivančević D
5 T. Miettinen D
3 J. Baccay D
8 E. Hussain M
10 M. Ingebrigtsen M
7 F. Jørgensen M
6 T. Svendsen M
11 F. Tewelde M
24 B. Njie F
Bench (7)
29 B. Bang-Kittelsen
9 O. Midtskogen
18 S. Aas
16 C. Glenna
26 J. Skau
20 T. Rekdal
30 P. Nygaard Klausen

Coach: K. Dokken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Grøtta · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.