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Superligaen
Referee: L Graagaard
Nordsjaelland
T S S U S
4–1
Full-time
Silkeborg
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Silkeborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
2,3
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 43%
54%
32%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
54%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,9
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 1
5 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 3
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nordsjaelland 4. · Silkeborg 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 29 18 4 7 +28 +16.8 58
2 Midtjylland 29 18 4 7 +18 +13.2 58
3 Brondby 29 16 8 5 +23 +6.7 56
4 Nordsjaelland 28 15 8 5 +24 +4.5 53
5 Aarhus 29 9 11 9 -5 +3.6 38
6 Viborg 29 10 7 12 -8 -3.7 37
7 Randers FC 29 8 11 10 -8 +0.6 35
8 Silkeborg 28 9 5 14 -7 +6.9 32
9 Lyngby 29 8 8 13 -15 -5.8 32
10 Vejle 29 7 9 13 -6 -18.7 30
11 Odense 29 6 8 15 -13 -7.4 26
12 Hvidovre IF 29 4 7 18 -31 -16.6 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nordsjaelland Silkeborg
2′
S. Þórðarson 0–1
M. Brink
1–1 J. Tverskov
D. Svensson
18′
Half-time 1–1
Ibrahim Osman 🟨
61′
M. Hansen 🔁
↦ Z. Sertdemir
62′
B. Nygren 🔁
↦ C. Harder
62′
2–1 A. Schjelderup
I. Osman
68′
73′
🔁 O. Sonne
↦ J. Gammelby
73′
🔁 K. Kusk
↦ C. McCowatt
73′
🔁 M. Larsen
↦ O. Boesen
O. Antman 🔁
↦ I. Osman
74′
85′
🔁 A. Poulsen
↦ L. Musonda
85′
🔁 A. Bøndergaard
↦ S. Þórðarson
3–1 A. Schjelderup
K. Hansen
86′
C. Rasmussen 🔁
↦ A. Schjelderup
89′
M. Dorgeles 🔁
↦ D. Svensson
90′
4–1 B. Nygren
O. Villadsen
92′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
13 A. Hansen G
23 O. Villadsen D
39 A. Nagalo D
4 K. Hansen D
5 M. Frese D
21 Z. Sertdemir M
6 J. Tverskov M
27 D. Svensson M
40 C. Harder F
14 I. Osman F
8 A. Schjelderup F
Bench (9)
11 M. Hansen
9 B. Nygren
22 O. Antman
17 C. Rasmussen
29 M. Dorgeles
12 R. Ascone
19 L. Hey
25 C. Eriksson
24 L. Høgsberg

Coach: J. Thorup

Silkeborg

5-3-2
1 N. Larsen G
19 J. Gammelby D
25 P. Rödin D
3 R. Østrøm D
4 J. Felix D
24 L. Musonda D
41 O. Boesen M
14 M. Brink M
8 S. Þórðarson M
23 T. Adamsen F
17 C. McCowatt F
Bench (7)
5 O. Sonne
7 K. Kusk
20 M. Larsen
2 A. Poulsen
15 A. Bøndergaard
16 J. Pryts
29 F. Rieper

Coach: K. Nielsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Graagaard · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.