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Bundesliga

Referee: J Weinberger

LASK

S T S S S

2–2

Full-time

Sturm Graz

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 54%

47%

60%

Points per game

1,7

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

33%

43%

Both score Ø 44%

37%

50%

Average goals

2,1

2,4

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%

14 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 20

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match LASK 3. · Sturm Graz 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	30	18	9	3	+31	63
2	Salzburg	30	18	7	5	+35	61
3	LASK	30	14	9	7	+16	51
4	Wolfsberger AC	31	11	10	10	+0	43
5	Austria Vienna	31	11	10	10	+0	43
6	SK Rapid	30	10	12	8	+14	42
7	Hartberg	30	11	9	10	-2	42
8	A. Klagenfurt	30	9	12	9	-7	39
9	BW Linz	31	7	11	13	-14	32
10	Altach	31	6	12	13	-13	30
11	Tirol	31	7	5	19	-24	26
12	A. Lustenau	31	4	8	19	-36	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	15	10	3	2	+24	33
2	Sturm Graz	15	9	4	2	+14	31
3	LASK	15	9	3	3	+14	30
4	Austria Vienna	16	6	8	2	+6	26
5	Hartberg	15	6	4	5	-4	22
6	BW Linz	15	4	8	3	-1	20
7	SK Rapid	15	4	7	4	+5	19
8	Wolfsberger AC	15	5	4	6	+0	19
9	A. Klagenfurt	15	4	7	4	-6	19
10	Altach	15	3	6	6	-3	15
11	Tirol	16	4	3	9	-8	15
12	A. Lustenau	16	3	0	13	-22	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	15	9	5	1	+17	32
2	Salzburg	15	8	4	3	+11	28
3	Wolfsberger AC	16	6	6	4	+0	24
4	SK Rapid	15	6	5	4	+9	23
5	LASK	15	5	6	4	+2	21
6	Hartberg	15	5	5	5	+2	20
7	A. Klagenfurt	15	5	5	5	-1	20
8	Austria Vienna	15	5	2	8	-6	17
9	Altach	16	3	6	7	-10	15
10	BW Linz	16	3	3	10	-13	12
11	A. Lustenau	15	1	8	6	-14	11
12	Tirol	15	3	2	10	-16	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.