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Super League

Referee: J von Mandach

Winterthur

U T T T T

2–1

Full-time

Zurich

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Zurich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,2

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

81%

56%

Both score Ø 75%

94%

56%

Average goals

4,2

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,9

Conceded

2,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%

14 Shots 20

3 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 9

8 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Winterthur 10. · Zurich 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	17	10	5	2	+21	+0.2	35
2	Zurich	16	8	7	1	+16	+1.3	31
3	St. Gallen	17	9	3	5	+11	+9.5	30
4	Servette	17	8	6	3	+8	+9.6	30
5	Lugano	17	8	1	8	+2	+3.5	25
6	Luzern	17	7	4	6	-4	-0.5	25
7	Grasshoppers	17	6	2	9	+1	-4.6	20
8	Lausanne	17	5	5	7	-4	+1.7	20
9	Yverdon	17	5	5	7	-14	-7.0	20
10	Winterthur	16	4	4	8	-9	-2.4	16
11	Basel	17	4	3	10	-11	-6.2	15
12	Lausanne Ouchy	17	2	5	10	-17	-5.2	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	8	8	0	0	+16	+5.3	24
2	Young Boys	9	7	2	0	+19	+1.7	23
3	Luzern	8	6	1	1	+6	+3.6	19
4	Zurich	9	5	3	1	+7	+0.5	18
5	Lugano	9	5	1	3	+3	+1.1	16
6	Servette	8	4	3	1	+7	+3.5	15
7	Lausanne	9	4	3	2	+4	+1.3	15
8	Yverdon	9	4	3	2	-2	+0.1	15
9	Grasshoppers	8	4	1	3	+7	-1.9	13
10	Basel	9	3	2	4	+0	-4.3	11
11	Winterthur	7	3	2	2	+0	+1.3	11
12	Lausanne Ouchy	8	1	4	3	-8	-1.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	9	4	3	2	+1	+6.1	15
2	Zurich	7	3	4	0	+9	+0.8	13
3	Young Boys	8	3	3	2	+2	-1.5	12
4	Lugano	8	3	0	5	-1	+2.4	9
5	Grasshoppers	9	2	1	6	-6	-2.7	7
6	St. Gallen	9	1	3	5	-5	+4.2	6
7	Luzern	9	1	3	5	-10	-4.1	6
8	Lausanne	8	1	2	5	-8	+0.4	5
9	Winterthur	9	1	2	6	-9	-3.8	5
10	Yverdon	8	1	2	5	-12	-7.1	5
11	Lausanne Ouchy	9	1	1	7	-9	-4.0	4
12	Basel	8	1	1	6	-11	-1.9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.