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Superligaen
Referee: J Kehlet
Brondby
U U S U T
1–3
Full-time
FC Copenhagen
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby FC Copenhagen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 59%
57%
61%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
68%
68%
Both score Ø 59%
64%
54%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,9
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

69% Possession 31%
16 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brondby 1. · FC Copenhagen 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Brondby 28 16 8 4 +25 +6.7 56
2 FC Copenhagen 28 17 4 7 +26 +16.8 55
3 Midtjylland 28 17 4 7 +17 +13.2 55
4 Nordsjaelland 28 15 8 5 +24 +4.5 53
5 Aarhus 28 9 11 8 -4 +3.6 38
6 Viborg 29 10 7 12 -8 -3.7 37
7 Randers FC 29 8 11 10 -8 +0.6 35
8 Silkeborg 28 9 5 14 -7 +6.9 32
9 Lyngby 29 8 8 13 -15 -5.8 32
10 Vejle 29 7 9 13 -6 -18.7 30
11 Odense 29 6 8 15 -13 -7.4 26
12 Hvidovre IF 29 4 7 18 -31 -16.6 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brondby FC Copenhagen
1–0 N. Vallys
31′
39′
K. Diks 1–1
O. Óskarsson
S. Sebulonsen 🔁
↦ S. Klaiber
44′
Half-time 1–1
50′
🟨 Elias Achouri
54′
M. Elyounoussi 1–2
M. Mattsson
K. Tshiembe 🔁
↦ J. Vanlerberghe
66′
F. Bundgaard 🔁
↦ O. Omoijuanfo
66′
71′
🔁 J. Larsson
↦ E. Achouri
72′
🟨 Jordan Larsson
Sebastian Sebulonsen ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
76′
76′
🟨 Elias Jelert
78′
🔁 R. Falk
↦ W. Clem
83′
🟨 Kevin Diks
M. Greve 🔁
↦ R. Lauritsen
84′
N. Nartey 🔁
↦ D. Wass
84′
85′
🔁 B. Meling
↦ E. Jelert
85′
🔁 V. Claesson
↦ O. Óskarsson
86′
🔁 L. Lerager
↦ M. Elyounoussi
Patrick Pentz 🟨
98′
98′
🟨 Rasmus Falk Jensen
Kevin Tshiembe 🟥
99′
100′
ℹ️ Viktor Claesson
VAR: Penalty confirmed
102′
2 K. Diks 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Brondby

3-4-2-1
1 P. Pentz G
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
5 R. Lauritsen D
4 J. Rasmussen D
31 S. Klaiber M
22 J. Radošević M
10 D. Wass M
24 M. Divković M
28 Y. Suzuki F
7 N. Vallys F
9 O. Omoijuanfo F
Bench (9)
2 S. Sebulonsen
18 K. Tshiembe
11 F. Bundgaard
8 M. Greve
35 N. Nartey
41 O. Schwartau
16 T. Mikkelsen
14 K. Mensah
99 E. Yeboah

Coach: J. Sørensen

FC Copenhagen

3-4-2-1
1 K. Grabara G
3 D. Vavro D
2 K. Diks D
26 S. McKenna D
22 P. Ankersen M
36 W. Clem M
8 M. Mattsson M
19 E. Jelert M
10 M. Elyounoussi F
30 E. Achouri F
18 O. Óskarsson F
Bench (9)
11 J. Larsson
33 R. Falk
24 B. Meling
7 V. Claesson
12 L. Lerager
47 V. Froholdt
31 R. Rúnarsson
9 Diogo Gonçalves
6 C. Sørensen

Coach: J. Neestrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Kehlet · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.