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Eliteserien

Referee: C Moen

KFUM Oslo

S U U S S

1–4

Full-time

Fredrikstad

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

KFUM Oslo Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

1,17 xG 0,47

61% Possession 39%

8 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match KFUM Oslo 8. · Fredrikstad 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	7	6	1	0	+13	+3.2	19
2	Brann	7	4	2	1	+6	+7.7	14
3	Molde	8	4	2	2	+5	+5.8	14
4	Fredrikstad	6	3	2	1	+3	+1.3	11
5	Rosenborg	7	3	1	3	-1	-5.3	10
6	Stromsgodset	6	3	1	2	-1	-0.9	10
7	Viking	6	2	3	1	+1	+5.5	9
8	KFUM Oslo	6	2	3	1	+1	+1.4	9
9	Kristiansund	7	2	3	2	-2	-1.0	9
10	Odd	7	2	2	3	-3	-7.6	8
11	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	1	3	+0	-1.8	7
12	Lillestrom	6	2	1	3	-4	-2.2	7
13	Haugesund	6	2	0	4	-4	-2.6	6
14	Sandefjord	5	1	1	3	-2	+1.5	4
15	Ham-Kam	7	0	3	4	-4	+0.7	3
16	Tromso	5	0	0	5	-8	-5.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Molde	5	3	1	1	+6	+6.6	10
2	Brann	4	3	0	1	+4	+5.8	9
3	Viking	4	2	2	0	+2	+2.5	8
4	Bodo/Glimt	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.4	7
5	Rosenborg	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.3	6
6	Kristiansund	4	1	2	1	-1	+0.7	5
7	Stromsgodset	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
8	Fredrikstad	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.8	4
9	Sandefjord	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.1	3
10	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.1	3
11	KFUM Oslo	3	0	2	1	-2	+1.5	2
12	Odd	4	0	2	2	-3	-2.9	2
13	Lillestrom	3	0	1	2	-6	-2.4	1
14	Ham-Kam	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.2	0
15	Haugesund	3	0	0	3	-5	+1.2	0
16	Tromso	3	0	0	3	-6	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	4	4	0	0	+11	+2.8	12
2	Fredrikstad	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.5	7
3	KFUM Oslo	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.2	7
4	Lillestrom	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.2	6
5	Haugesund	3	2	0	1	+1	-3.8	6
6	Odd	3	2	0	1	+0	-4.7	6
7	Stromsgodset	4	2	0	2	-2	-1.3	6
8	Brann	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.9	5
9	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	1	1	+2	-1.8	4
10	Kristiansund	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.7	4
11	Molde	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.8	4
12	Rosenborg	4	1	1	2	-2	-5.6	4
13	Ham-Kam	5	0	3	2	-2	+0.9	3
14	Viking	2	0	1	1	-1	+3.0	1
15	Sandefjord	3	0	1	2	-3	+1.4	1
16	Tromso	2	0	0	2	-2	-4.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.