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Super League

Referee: S Schärer

Winterthur

T S S U U

2–1

Full-time

Yverdon

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Yverdon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 34%

36%

32%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

76%

68%

Both score Ø 78%

88%

68%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,79 xG 1,51

62% Possession 38%

12 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Winterthur 7. · Yverdon 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	25	15	6	4	+28	+1.9	51
2	Servette	26	14	8	4	+16	+16.9	50
3	Lugano	26	12	4	10	+7	+5.2	40
4	St. Gallen	26	12	4	10	+5	+12.5	40
5	Zurich	25	10	9	6	+10	+0.1	39
6	Luzern	26	11	4	11	-3	+2.2	37
7	Winterthur	25	9	7	9	-5	-4.9	34
8	Basel	26	9	4	13	-7	-3.9	31
9	Yverdon	25	8	6	11	-18	-13.9	30
10	Grasshoppers	26	8	5	13	-1	-5.9	29
11	Lausanne	26	7	8	11	-5	+3.6	29
12	Lausanne Ouchy	26	3	7	16	-27	-13.9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	13	10	2	1	+24	+4.3	32
2	St. Gallen	13	10	1	2	+13	+7.9	31
3	Servette	13	8	4	1	+13	+9.2	28
4	Luzern	13	8	1	4	+5	+3.5	25
5	Yverdon	13	7	3	3	+1	-3.6	24
6	Zurich	12	6	5	1	+8	+1.0	23
7	Lugano	13	6	3	4	+4	+4.9	21
8	Winterthur	12	6	3	3	+1	+0.9	21
9	Grasshoppers	13	6	2	5	+7	-1.0	20
10	Lausanne	13	5	4	4	+4	+2.3	19
11	Basel	13	5	2	6	+0	-3.1	17
12	Lausanne Ouchy	13	1	6	6	-15	-4.5	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	13	6	4	3	+3	+7.8	22
2	Young Boys	12	5	4	3	+4	-2.5	19
3	Lugano	13	6	1	6	+3	+0.3	19
4	Zurich	13	4	4	5	+2	-0.9	16
5	Basel	13	4	2	7	-7	-0.8	14
6	Winterthur	13	3	4	6	-6	-5.9	13
7	Luzern	13	3	3	7	-8	-1.3	12
8	Lausanne	13	2	4	7	-9	+1.3	10
9	St. Gallen	13	2	3	8	-8	+4.6	9
10	Grasshoppers	13	2	3	8	-8	-4.9	9
11	Lausanne Ouchy	13	2	1	10	-12	-9.4	7
12	Yverdon	12	1	3	8	-19	-10.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.