Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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LASK
Hartberg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sturm Graz
|
22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | +7 | +6.1 | 38 |
| 2 |
Salzburg
|
22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | +16 | +8.6 | 37 |
| 3 |
LASK
|
22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +2 | +4.2 | 37 |
| 4 |
Austria Vienna
|
22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | +4 | +2.7 | 36 |
| 5 |
Hartberg
|
22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | +5 | -3.1 | 33 |
| 6 |
SK Rapid
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +1 | -2.7 | 33 |
| 7 |
Tirol
|
22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | +1 | +5.8 | 31 |
| 8 |
Altach
|
22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | -1 | -1.7 | 29 |
| 9 |
Ried
|
22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -4 | -3.1 | 28 |
| 10 |
Wolfsberger AC
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -1 | -8.9 | 26 |
| 11 |
Grazer AK
|
22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -14 | -3.1 | 20 |
| 12 |
BW Linz
|
22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -16 | -4.9 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
LASK
Wolfsberger AC
Austria Vienna
LASK
LASK
Salzburg
Ried
LASK
LASK
Tirol
A Sadikovski · 24 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.