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Bundesliga
Referee: T Welz
Schalke 04
T S S S S
1–1
Full-time
FC Koln
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,8
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 5. · FC Koln 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 7 4 2 1 +12 14
2 Freiburg 7 4 2 1 +8 14
3 RB Leipzig 7 4 2 1 +8 14
4 Leverkusen 7 4 2 1 +4 14
5 Schalke 04 6 4 1 1 +7 13
6 M'gladbach 6 4 1 1 +5 13
7 Dortmund 7 3 3 1 +8 12
8 Wolfsburg 6 3 3 0 +5 12
9 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 1 2 +1 10
10 Hertha 7 3 1 3 +0 10
11 Hoffenheim 7 2 2 3 -5 8
12 Werder Bremen 6 2 1 3 -4 7
13 Mainz 7 2 0 5 -10 6
14 Augsburg 6 1 2 3 -7 5
15 Fortuna Dusseldorf 7 1 1 5 -5 4
16 Union Berlin 6 1 1 4 -6 4
17 FC Koln 6 1 0 5 -11 3
18 Paderborn 7 0 1 6 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 FC Koln
Jonjoe Kenny 🟨
20′
22′
🟨 Noah Katterbach
Suat Serdar 🟨
35′
40′
🟨 Kingsley Ehizibue
Salif Sané 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
W. McKennie 🔁
↦ M. Uth
46′
A. Kutucu 🔁
↦ D. Caligiuri
61′
Bastian Oczipka 🟨
64′
67′
🟨 Simon Terodde
70′
🔁 J. Córdoba
↦ S. Terodde
1–0 S. Serdar
S. Sané
71′
78′
🔁 A. Modeste
↦ L. Schaub
80′
🔁 M. Risse
↦ K. Ehizibue
90′
🟨 Anthony Modeste
91′
J. Hector 1–1
F. Kainz
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-3-1-2
35 A. Nübel G
24 B. Oczipka D
17 B. Stambouli D
26 S. Sané D
20 J. Kenny D
18 D. Caligiuri M
6 Omar Mascarell M
8 S. Serdar M
25 A. Harit M
19 G. Burgstaller F
7 M. Uth F
Bench (9)
2 W. McKennie
15 A. Kutucu
23 M. Schubert
28 A. Schöpf
14 R. Matondo
9 B. Raman
3 Juan Miranda
4 O. Kabak
5 M. Nastasić

Coach: D. Wagner

FC Koln

4-2-3-1
1 T. Horn G
5 R. Czichos D
19 K. Ehizibue D
33 S. Bornauw D
34 N. Katterbach D
30 F. Kainz M
14 J. Hector M
13 L. Schaub M
11 K. Schindler M
28 E. Skhiri M
9 S. Terodde F
Bench (9)
15 J. Córdoba
27 A. Modeste
7 M. Risse
3 L. Sobiech
21 V. Koziello
36 N. Hauptmann
2 B. Schmitz
6 M. Höger
18 T. Kessler

Coach: A. Beierlorzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,64
U ✓
4,15
B
5,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,35
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Welz · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.