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Bundesliga
Referee: H Lechner
Tirol
T S S S U
4–2
Full-time
Hartberg
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 27%
30%
23%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
57%
47%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
57%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
13 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tirol 6. · Hartberg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 30 24 4 2 +57 76
2 Sturm Graz 30 16 8 6 +21 56
3 SK Rapid 30 10 11 9 +5 41
4 Wolfsberger AC 30 12 5 13 -9 41
5 Austria Vienna 30 9 13 8 +2 40
6 Tirol 30 9 10 11 -13 37
7 LASK 30 8 11 11 +0 35
8 A. Klagenfurt 30 8 11 11 -13 35
9 Ried 30 8 11 11 -14 35
10 Hartberg 30 7 11 12 -2 32
11 Admira 30 6 13 11 -5 31
12 Altach 30 5 8 17 -29 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tirol Hartberg
Thomas Sabitzer 🟨
29′
Valentino Müller 🟨
31′
0–1 M. Steinwender
own goal
36′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 D. Avdijaj
↦ Y. Diarra
1–1 T. Sabitzer
G. Vrioni
52′
57′
🔁 M. Horvat
↦ M. Steinwender
58′
🔁 S. Paintsil
↦ N. Niemann
Kofi Schulz 🟨
63′
63′
M. Gollner 1–2
D. Tadić
S. Ogrinec 🔁
↦ V. Müller
68′
T. Prica 🔁
↦ T. Sabitzer
68′
R. Behounek 🔁
↦ J. Ertlthaler
70′
2–2 G. Vrioni
B. Blume
71′
S. Skrbo 🔁
↦ B. Blume
82′
A. Ranacher 🔁
↦ Ž. Rogelj
82′
3–2 A. Ranacher
G. Vrioni
83′
84′
🔁 P. Erhardt
↦ J. Heil
86′
S. Paintsil 3–3
90′
🔁 J. Lemmerer
↦ D. Tadić
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Tirol

4-4-2
13 B. Ozegovic G
24 F. Koch D
44 K. Schulz D
26 D. Štumberger D
5 F. Bacher D
10 B. Blume M
77 J. Ertlthaler M
4 V. Müller M
21 Ž. Rogelj M
9 G. Vrioni F
7 T. Sabitzer F
Bench (7)
98 S. Ogrinec
33 T. Prica
30 R. Behounek
23 S. Skrbo
14 A. Ranacher
27 M. Wallner
1 P. Schermer

Coach: T. Silberberger

Hartberg

4-3-1-2
1 R. Swete G
14 C. Klem D
29 P. Farkas D
5 M. Gollner D
12 M. Steinwender D
23 T. Kainz M
9 O. Aydın M
28 J. Heil M
32 Y. Diarra M
10 N. Niemann F
24 D. Tadić F
Bench (7)
77 D. Avdijaj
11 M. Horvat
30 S. Paintsil
6 P. Erhardt
19 J. Lemmerer
27 T. Kofler
35 R. Sallinger

Coach: K. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Lechner · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.