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Championship
Referee: D Bond
Leeds
S U S S S
0–1
Full-time
Swansea
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Swansea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
This season — Championship · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 80%
80%
80%
Points per game
2,6
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
40%
80%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
0,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
21 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
15 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leeds 1. · Swansea 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 5 4 1 0 +8 13
2 Swansea 5 4 1 0 +7 13
3 Charlton 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Bristol City 6 3 2 1 +3 11
5 Fulham 5 3 0 2 +5 9
6 Preston 5 3 0 2 +4 9
7 Sheffield Weds 5 3 0 2 +3 9
8 West Brom 5 2 3 0 +2 9
9 Nott'm Forest 5 2 2 1 +3 8
10 Millwall 5 2 2 1 -2 8
11 Reading 5 2 1 2 +2 7
12 QPR 5 2 1 2 -1 7
13 Blackburn 5 2 1 2 -1 7
14 Cardiff 5 2 1 2 -2 7
15 Birmingham 5 2 1 2 -3 7
16 Derby 5 1 3 1 +0 6
17 Middlesbrough 6 1 3 2 -1 6
18 Luton 5 1 1 3 -1 4
19 Brentford 5 1 1 3 -2 4
20 Hull 5 1 1 3 -3 4
21 Barnsley 5 1 1 3 -5 4
22 Wigan 5 1 0 4 -7 3
23 Huddersfield 5 0 1 4 -5 1
24 Stoke 5 0 1 4 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leeds Swansea
Ezgjan Alioski 🟨
21′
Half-time 0–0
E. Nketiah 🔁
↦ P. Bamford
61′
63′
🔁 S. Surridge
↦ Borja Bastón
63′
🔁 W. Routledge
↦ Y. Dhanda
Hélder Costa 🔁
↦ M. Klich
72′
78′
🟨 Jay Fulton
B. Douglas 🔁
↦ E. Alioski
83′
85′
🔁 G. Byers
↦ A. Ayew
Kalvin Phillips 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 George Byers
90′
W. Routledge 0–1
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Leeds

4-1-4-1
13 Kiko Casilla G
6 L. Cooper D
5 B. White D
19 Pablo Hernández M
43 M. Klich M
4 A. Forshaw M
15 S. Dallas D
23 K. Phillips M
22 J. Harrison M
10 E. Alioski D
9 P. Bamford F
Bench (7)
14 E. Nketiah
17 Hélder Costa
3 B. Douglas
46 J. Shackleton
1 I. Meslier
28 G. Berardi
38 A. Mccalmont

Coach: M. Bielsa

Swansea

4-2-3-1
27 F. Woodman G
24 J. Bidwell D
5 M. van der Hoorn D
4 J. Rodon D
6 J. Fulton M
8 M. Grimes M
23 C. Roberts D
22 A. Ayew M
9 Borja Bastón F
10 B. Celina M
21 Y. Dhanda M
Bench (7)
19 S. Surridge
15 W. Routledge
28 G. Byers
20 B. Wilmot
26 K. Naughton
41 J. Garrick
1 K. Nordfeldt

Coach: S. Cooper

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,59
U
4,13
B ✓
5,55
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Bond · 157 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.