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Bundesliga
Referee: R Eisner
Tirol
S T U U T
1–5
Full-time
Salzburg
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
20%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
40%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
1,4
4,4
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+3,8
This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
20%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
40%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
1,4
4,4
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+3,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

35% Possession 65%
12 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tirol 8. · Salzburg 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 5 5 0 0 +19 15
2 LASK 5 4 1 0 +7 13
3 Wolfsberger AC 5 3 0 2 +7 9
4 Sturm Graz 5 3 0 2 +4 9
5 Hartberg 5 2 2 1 +3 8
6 SK Rapid 5 2 1 2 -1 7
7 Austria Vienna 5 1 2 2 -1 5
8 Tirol 5 1 2 2 -1 5
9 St. Polten 5 1 2 2 -8 5
10 Altach 5 1 1 3 -5 4
11 Mattersburg 5 1 0 4 -12 3
12 Admira 5 0 1 4 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tirol Salzburg
12′
Majeed Ashimeru 0–1
Hee Chan Hwang
31′
André Ramalho 0–2
Zlatko Junuzović
41′
Erling Braut Håland 0–3
Antoine Bernede
Half-time 0–3
Lukas Katnik 🔁
↦ Dino Kovacec
46′
Sandro Neurauter 🔁
↦ Ione Cabrera
49′
Kelvin Yeboah 🟨
52′
0–4 Maximilian Wöber
own goal
56′
58′
Hee Chan Hwang 0–5
Majeed Ashimeru
Michael Svoboda 🟨
59′
63′
🔁 Dominik Szoboszlai
↦ André Ramalho
69′
🔁 Sekou Koita
↦ Erling Braut Håland
71′
Dominik Szoboszlai 0–6
Milan Jurdik 🔁
↦ Kelvin Yeboah
74′
79′
🔁 Patson Daka
↦ Hee Chan Hwang
Full-time 0–6

Line-ups

Tirol

3-4-3
25 Ferdinand Oswald G
34 Stefan Hager D
13 Ione Cabrera D
4 David Gugganig D
14 Julian Gölles M
3 Michael Svoboda M
16 Florian Rieder M
17 Felix Adjei M
23 Dino Kovacec F
27 Kelvin Yeboah F
7 Benjamin Pranter F
Bench (7)
1 Pascal Grunwald
19 Sandro Neurauter
42 Florian Mader
9 Sebastian Santin
10 Florian Toplitsch
11 Lukas Katnik
21 Milan Jurdik

Coach: T. Silberberger

Salzburg

3-1-4-2
1 Cican Stanković G
15 André Ramalho D
5 Albert Vallci D
39 Maximilian Wöber D
28 Antoine Bernede M
25 Patrick Farkas M
4 Majeed Ashimeru M
16 Zlatko Junuzović M
17 Andreas Ulmer M
9 Hee Chan Hwang F
30 Erling Braut Håland F
Bench (7)
31 Carlos Miguel
43 Rasmus Kristensen
14 Dominik Szoboszlai
45 Enock Mwepu
7 Sekou Koita
11 Smail Prevljak
20 Patson Daka

Coach: J. Marsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Eisner · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.