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Bundesliga

Referee: Sören Storks

Mainz

T U T S T

0–2

Full-time

Bayern Munich

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Bayern Munich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

17%

100%

Points per game

0,8

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

2,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,7

This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 53%

25%

80%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

50%

65%

Both score Ø 53%

60%

45%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

35% Possession 65%

15 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 15. · Bayern Munich 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	20	16	2	2	+33	50
2	Dortmund	21	9	7	5	+16	34
3	Leverkusen	20	9	7	4	+14	34
4	Schalke 04	20	9	7	4	+7	34
5	Ein Frankfurt	20	9	6	5	+6	33
6	RB Leipzig	20	9	5	6	+3	32
7	M'gladbach	20	9	4	7	-2	31
8	Augsburg	20	7	7	6	+3	28
9	Hoffenheim	20	7	6	7	-1	27
10	Hannover	20	7	6	7	-2	27
11	Hertha	20	6	8	6	+0	26
12	Freiburg	20	5	9	6	-13	24
13	Wolfsburg	20	4	11	5	-1	23
14	Stuttgart	20	6	2	12	-10	20
15	Mainz	20	5	5	10	-11	20
16	Werder Bremen	20	3	8	9	-9	17
17	Hamburg	20	4	4	12	-13	16
18	FC Koln	21	3	4	14	-20	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	9	1	0	+24	28
2	RB Leipzig	10	6	3	1	+9	21
3	M'gladbach	10	6	2	2	+4	20
4	Leverkusen	10	5	4	1	+9	19
5	Schalke 04	10	5	4	1	+6	19
6	Stuttgart	10	6	1	3	+3	19
7	Hannover	10	5	3	2	+6	18
8	Hoffenheim	10	5	3	2	+5	18
9	Freiburg	10	4	5	1	+3	17
10	Augsburg	10	4	4	2	+4	16
11	Mainz	10	5	1	4	+0	16
12	Dortmund	10	4	3	3	+9	15
13	Hertha	10	4	3	3	+1	15
14	Wolfsburg	10	2	6	2	+0	12
15	Ein Frankfurt	10	3	3	4	+0	12
16	Hamburg	10	3	2	5	-3	11
17	Werder Bremen	10	2	4	4	-3	10
18	FC Koln	11	2	2	7	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	7	1	2	+9	22
2	Ein Frankfurt	10	6	3	1	+6	21
3	Dortmund	11	5	4	2	+7	19
4	Leverkusen	10	4	3	3	+5	15
5	Schalke 04	10	4	3	3	+1	15
6	Augsburg	10	3	3	4	-1	12
7	Hertha	10	2	5	3	-1	11
8	Wolfsburg	10	2	5	3	-1	11
9	M'gladbach	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	RB Leipzig	10	3	2	5	-6	11
11	Hoffenheim	10	2	3	5	-6	9
12	Hannover	10	2	3	5	-8	9
13	Werder Bremen	10	1	4	5	-6	7
14	Freiburg	10	1	4	5	-16	7
15	Hamburg	10	1	2	7	-10	5
16	FC Koln	10	1	2	7	-11	5
17	Mainz	10	0	4	6	-11	4
18	Stuttgart	10	0	1	9	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.