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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
St Mirren
T T T T U
0–0
Full-time
Dundee
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,7
Scored
0,3
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 22/23 matches
Win Ø 22%
18%
26%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
32%
48%
Both score Ø 40%
41%
39%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,47 xG 0,94
40% Possession 60%
10 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 10. · Dundee 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 23 15 6 2 +25 +8.3 51
2 Rangers 23 13 8 2 +20 +6.3 47
3 Celtic 23 14 3 6 +18 +10.2 45
4 Motherwell 23 10 10 3 +18 +8.0 40
5 Hibernian 23 9 8 6 +10 -0.4 35
6 Falkirk 23 9 6 8 -2 +2.7 33
7 Aberdeen 23 8 4 11 -4 -7.3 28
8 Dundee United 22 5 10 7 -6 -7.2 25
9 Dundee 23 6 4 13 -18 -7.7 22
10 St Mirren 22 4 7 11 -14 +2.4 19
11 Kilmarnock 23 2 8 13 -23 -9.0 14
12 Livingston 23 1 8 14 -24 -6.3 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Dundee
Half-time 0–0
J. Richardson 🔁
↦ T. Sobowale
46′
M. Mandron 🔁
↦ K. Etete
46′
Jake Young 🟥
63′
A. Campbell 🔁
↦ R. Idowu
73′
73′
🔁 C. Reilly
↦ C. Congreve
73′
🔁 J. Bevan
↦ T. Yogane
D. N'Lundulu 🔁
↦ S. Tanser
78′
83′
🔁 C. Jones
↦ J. Cotterill
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

St Mirren

5-4-1
1 S. George G
19 T. Sobowale D
22 M. Fraser D
5 R. King D
21 M. Freckleton D
3 S. Tanser D
7 R. Idowu M
13 A. Gogic M
88 K. Phillips M
20 J. Young M
29 K. Etete F
Bench (9)
31 R. Mullen
2 J. Richardson
24 D. John
4 L. Donnelly
16 A. Campbell
10 C. McMenamin
17 J. Calvin
14 D. N'Lundulu
9 M. Mandron

Coach: Craig McLeish

Dundee

4-2-3-1
1 J. McCracken G
16 B. Halliday D
4 R. Astley D
22 L. Graham D
7 D. Wright D
48 E. Hamilton M
24 J. Cotterill M
20 C. Congreve M
21 Y. Dhanda M
17 T. Yogane M
15 S. Murray F
Bench (9)
13 K. O'Hara
2 E. Ingram
6 A. Donnelly
8 P. Digby
10 F. Robertson
12 I. Samuels
18 C. Reilly
27 J. Bevan
28 C. Jones

Coach: Steven Pressley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,74
U ✓
3,55
B
4,57
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.