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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
St Mirren
T T S S S
1–2
Full-time
Dundee
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 19/18 matches
Win Ø 35%
42%
28%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
79%
67%
Both score Ø 65%
63%
67%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 5. · Dundee 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 17 15 2 0 +44 47
2 Rangers 17 11 2 4 +18 35
3 Aberdeen 18 10 4 4 +6 34
4 Dundee United 18 7 7 4 +7 28
5 St Mirren 19 8 3 8 -4 27
6 Motherwell 18 8 2 8 -8 26
7 Hibernian 19 5 6 8 -5 21
8 Kilmarnock 19 5 6 8 -12 21
9 Dundee 18 5 4 9 -6 19
10 Ross County 19 4 6 9 -18 18
11 Hearts 19 4 4 11 -8 16
12 ST Johnstone 19 4 2 13 -14 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

31. Aug -24 Dundee – St Mirren 2–2 4. May -24 Dundee – St Mirren 1–3 7. Feb -24 St Mirren – Dundee 2–0 11. Nov -23 Dundee – St Mirren 4–0 12. Aug -23 St Mirren – Dundee 2–1

Match report

St Mirren Dundee
22′
🔁 E. Ingram
↦ B. Koumetio
22′
🔁 S. Kelly
↦ J. McGhee
29′
⚽ S. Murray 0–1
J. Mulligan
1–1 T. Olusanya ⚽
E. Bwomono
40′
Half-time 1–1
58′
🟨 Sebastian Palmer-Houlden
M. Mandron 🔁
↦ T. Olusanya
63′
J. Ayunga 🔁
↦ R. Idowu
63′
66′
⚽ S. Murray 1–2
R. Astley
E. Mooney 🔁
↦ G. Kiltie
75′
C. Boyd-Munce 🔁
↦ O. Smyth
75′
Mikael Mandron 🟨
80′
C. Penman 🔁
↦ E. Bwomono
82′
90′
🔁 S. Tiffoney
↦ O. Adewumi
91′
🟨 Ethan Ingram
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-4-2-1
1 E. Balcombe G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
4 A. Iacovitti D
42 E. Bwomono M
88 K. Phillips M
8 O. Smyth M
24 D. John M
12 R. Idowu F
11 G. Kiltie F
20 T. Olusanya F
Bench (9)
9 M. Mandron
7 J. Ayunga
33 E. Mooney
15 C. Boyd-Munce
28 C. Penman
27 P. Urminský
23 D. Adeniran
14 J. Scott
5 R. Taylor

Coach: S. Robinson

Dundee

3-4-1-2
31 T. Carson G
4 R. Astley D
6 J. McGhee D
20 B. Koumetio D
8 J. Mulligan M
10 L. Cameron M
28 M. Sylla M
19 F. Robertson M
11 O. Adewumi F
23 S. Palmer-Houlden F
15 S. Murray F
Bench (8)
2 E. Ingram
16 S. Kelly
7 S. Tiffoney
47 J. Vetro
22 S. Braybrooke
30 H. Sharp
1 J. McCracken
9 C. Main

Coach: T. Docherty

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,91
🔒
U
3,63
🔒
B ✓
3,74
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,88
🔒
U2,5
1,89
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.