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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Celtic
S S T S T
2–0
Full-time
Livingston
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,3
Scored
1,7
0,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 18/17 matches
Win Ø 42%
72%
12%
Points per game
2,3
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
72%
29%
Both score Ø 46%
56%
35%
Average goals
3,2
2,1
Scored
2,4
0,6
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

77% Possession 23%
22 Shots 0
7 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
14 Corners 0
3 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 4
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · Livingston 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 18 13 3 2 +29 42
2 Rangers 17 13 1 3 +27 40
3 Hearts 17 8 2 7 +2 26
4 St Mirren 18 7 5 6 -1 26
5 Kilmarnock 18 6 6 6 +1 24
6 Hibernian 18 6 6 6 -2 24
7 Dundee 16 5 6 5 -3 21
8 Aberdeen 16 5 4 7 -7 19
9 ST Johnstone 18 4 6 8 -13 18
10 Ross County 17 4 5 8 -9 17
11 Motherwell 18 3 7 8 -9 16
12 Livingston 17 2 5 10 -15 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celtic Livingston
42′
🔁 M. Nottingham
↦ T. Parkes
Half-time 1–0
1–0 K. Furuhashi
L. Palma
46′
2–0 L. Scales
L. Palma
51′
J. Forrest 🔁
↦ D. Maeda
63′
65′
🔁 K. Guthrie
↦ B. Anderson
65′
🔁 S. Kelly
↦ A. Shinnie
67′
🟨 Jason Holt
Yang Hyun-Jun 🔁
↦ L. Palma
71′
Oh Hyeon-Gyu 🔁
↦ K. Furuhashi
71′
D. Turnbull 🔁
↦ Paulo Bernardo
80′
86′
🔁 S. Lawal
↦ J. Nouble
86′
🔁 C. Montaño
↦ J. Penrice
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
28 Paulo Bernardo M
38 D. Maeda F
8 K. Furuhashi F
7 L. Palma F
Bench (9)
49 J. Forrest
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
14 D. Turnbull
29 S. Bain
56 A. Ralston
57 S. Welsh
22 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
90 M. Johnston

Coach: B. Rodgers

Livingston

3-4-2-1
32 J. Hamilton G
23 L. de Lucas D
6 A. Obileye D
4 T. Parkes D
12 J. Brandon M
18 J. Holt M
22 A. Shinnie M
29 J. Penrice M
19 J. Nouble F
8 S. Pittman F
9 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
21 M. Nottingham
28 K. Guthrie
10 S. Kelly
40 S. Lawal
3 C. Montaño
1 S. George
35 C. Ledingham
16 S. Bradley
14 M. Welch-Hayes

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,09
U
9,62
B
23,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,39
U2,5 ✓
2,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.