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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Ross County
S S T T U
0–3
Full-time
Aberdeen
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 18/17 matches
Win Ø 26%
22%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
39%
53%
Both score Ø 35%
28%
41%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

53% Possession 47%
5 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 11. · Aberdeen 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 21 16 3 2 +35 51
2 Rangers 19 14 1 4 +28 43
3 Hearts 20 10 3 7 +5 33
4 Kilmarnock 21 8 7 6 +3 31
5 St Mirren 21 8 5 8 -1 29
6 Hibernian 19 6 6 7 -3 24
7 Dundee 18 5 7 6 -6 22
8 Motherwell 20 4 7 9 -9 19
9 Aberdeen 17 5 4 8 -10 19
10 ST Johnstone 20 4 7 9 -14 19
11 Ross County 18 4 6 8 -9 18
12 Livingston 20 2 6 12 -19 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Sep -23 Aberdeen – Ross County 4–0 14. Apr -23 Ross County – Aberdeen 0–1 2. Jan -23 Aberdeen – Ross County 0–0 3. Sep -22 Ross County – Aberdeen 1–1 9. Apr -22 Aberdeen – Ross County 0–1

Match report

Ross County Aberdeen
24′
⚽ J. McGrath 0–1
B. Miovski
30′
⚽ J. McGrath 0–2
L. Clarkson
Jack Baldwin 🟨
39′
Ryan Leak 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–2
47′
🟨 Dante Polvara
J. Henderson 🔁
↦ J. Sims
53′
59′
🟨 Connor Barron
Ben Purrington 🟨
65′
A. Samuel 🔁
↦ S. Murray
66′
G. Harmon 🔁
↦ M. Sheaf
79′
K. Turner 🔁
↦ J. White
79′
80′
⚽ B. Miovski 0–3
C. Barron
Jay Henderson 🟨
84′
Yan Dhanda 🟨
87′
88′
🔁 E. Sokler
↦ B. Miovski
89′
🔁 R. Duncan
↦ G. Shinnie
Jack Baldwin 🟥
91′
91′
ℹ️ Ester Sokler
VAR: Penalty cancelled
92′
🟨 Nicky Devlin
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Ross County

4-4-2
1 R. Laidlaw G
4 J. Brown D
5 J. Baldwin D
42 R. Leak D
3 B. Purrington D
10 Y. Dhanda M
12 M. Sheaf M
14 V. Loturi M
11 J. Sims M
26 J. White F
15 S. Murray F
Bench (8)
17 J. Henderson
25 A. Samuel
16 G. Harmon
7 K. Turner
35 W. Nightingale
27 E. Brophy
43 J. Reid
21 R. Munro

Coach: D. Adams

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
24 K. Roos G
2 N. Devlin D
33 S. Rubežić D
6 S. Gartenmann D
3 J. MacKenzie D
8 C. Barron M
4 G. Shinnie M
21 D. Polvara M
10 L. Clarkson M
7 J. McGrath M
9 B. Miovski F
Bench (9)
19 E. Sokler
23 R. Duncan
11 Duk
17 J. Hayes
31 R. Doohan
20 S. Morris
27 A. MacDonald
28 J. Milne
5 R. Jensen

Coach: B. Robson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,21
🔒
U
3,27
🔒
B ✓
2,26
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,08
🔒
U2,5
1,73
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.