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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
ST Johnstone
U S T T U
1–1
Full-time
Aberdeen
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 20/18 matches
Win Ø 27%
20%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
30%
56%
Both score Ø 37%
35%
39%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 4
20 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 10. · Aberdeen 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 22 17 3 2 +38 54
2 Rangers 20 15 1 4 +30 46
3 Hearts 22 12 3 7 +7 39
4 Kilmarnock 22 8 7 7 +1 31
5 St Mirren 22 8 5 9 -4 29
6 Hibernian 20 6 7 7 -3 25
7 Dundee 19 5 7 7 -7 22
8 Aberdeen 18 6 4 8 -7 22
9 Motherwell 21 4 8 9 -9 20
10 ST Johnstone 20 4 7 9 -14 19
11 Ross County 19 4 6 9 -12 18
12 Livingston 21 2 6 13 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Oct -23 Aberdeen – ST Johnstone 0–0 1. Apr -23 ST Johnstone – Aberdeen 0–1 7. Jan -23 Aberdeen – ST Johnstone 2–0 20. Aug -22 ST Johnstone – Aberdeen 0–1 11. May -22 ST Johnstone – Aberdeen 1–0

Match report

ST Johnstone Aberdeen
Half-time 0–0
Graham Carey ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
50′
59′
ℹ️ Slobodan Rubežić
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Matthew Smith 🟨
61′
62′
🔁 E. Sokler
↦ D. Polvara
62′
⚽ B. Miovski 0–1
63′
🔁 J. Hayes
↦ C. Barron
M. Kucheriavyi 🔁
↦ S. Sprangler
73′
74′
🔁 R. Jensen
↦ J. MacKenzie
1–1 D. Keltjens ⚽
G. Carey
78′
85′
🟨 Slobodan Rubežić
B. Mbunga Kimpioka 🔁
↦ D. Jaiyesimi
85′
90′
🔁 A. MacDonald
↦ S. Rubežić
Graham Carey 🟨
92′
Liam Gordon 🟨
94′
David Keltjens 🟨
96′
O. Olufunwa 🔁
↦ D. Keltjens
99′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-4-2-1
1 D. Mitov G
5 R. McGowan D
6 L. Gordon D
4 A. Considine D
33 D. Keltjens M
34 D. Phillips M
23 S. Sprangler M
19 L. Robinson M
22 M. Smith F
11 G. Carey F
13 D. Jaiyesimi F
Bench (8)
15 M. Kucheriavyi
29 B. Mbunga Kimpioka
17 O. Olufunwa
31 D. Richards
7 S. May
3 T. Gallacher
27 J. Turner-Cooke
46 F. Franczak

Coach: C. Levein

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
24 K. Roos G
2 N. Devlin D
33 S. Rubežić D
6 S. Gartenmann D
3 J. MacKenzie D
8 C. Barron M
4 G. Shinnie M
21 D. Polvara M
10 L. Clarkson M
7 J. McGrath M
9 B. Miovski F
Bench (9)
19 E. Sokler
17 J. Hayes
5 R. Jensen
27 A. MacDonald
23 R. Duncan
14 P. Guèye
11 Duk
31 R. Doohan
20 S. Morris

Coach: B. Robson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,84
🔒
U ✓
3,40
🔒
B
1,96
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,09
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,72
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.