Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Panserraikos
Aris
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PAOK
|
22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | +39 | 48 |
| 2 |
Olympiakos
|
22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | +28 | 48 |
| 3 |
AEK
|
21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | +27 | 48 |
| 4 |
Panathinaikos
|
21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | +32 | 44 |
| 5 |
Aris Thessalonikis
|
20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | +8 | 33 |
| 6 |
Aris
|
20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | +8 | 33 |
| 7 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 32 |
| 8 |
Lamia
|
22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | -6 | 31 |
| 9 |
Atromitos
|
21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | -10 | 26 |
| 10 |
OFI Crete
|
22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | -15 | 23 |
| 11 |
Panserraikos
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -10 | 22 |
| 12 |
Volos NFC
|
22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -23 | 16 |
| 13 |
Panetolikos
|
23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | -25 | 15 |
| 14 |
Kifisia
|
22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | -27 | 13 |
| 15 |
Giannina
|
21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | -21 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Panserraikos
Volos NFC
Giannina
Panserraikos
Lamia
Panserraikos
Panserraikos
Kifisia
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.