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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Willenborg

Bielefeld

T T T U S

2–2

Full-time

Paderborn

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,7

4,2

Scored

1,5

2,7

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 39%

28%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

66%

72%

Both score Ø 64%

72%

56%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,1

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

35% Possession 65%

19 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bielefeld 16. · Paderborn 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	33	20	7	6	+21	67
2	Heidenheim	32	17	10	5	+29	61
3	Hamburg	32	18	6	8	+23	60
4	St Pauli	33	16	9	8	+16	57
5	Paderborn	32	16	6	10	+25	54
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	32	16	6	10	+14	54
7	Kaiserslautern	32	11	12	9	+4	45
8	Hannover	32	12	7	13	-1	43
9	Holstein Kiel	33	11	10	12	-7	43
10	Karlsruhe	32	12	6	14	+1	42
11	Magdeburg	33	11	7	15	-11	40
12	Greuther Furth	32	9	11	12	-6	38
13	Hansa Rostock	32	11	4	17	-17	37
14	Braunschweig	32	9	9	14	-15	36
15	Nurnberg	32	9	8	15	-18	35
16	Bielefeld	32	9	6	17	-8	33
17	Regensburg	32	7	7	18	-24	28
18	Sandhausen	32	7	7	18	-26	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	17	11	5	1	+14	38
2	Heidenheim	16	11	4	1	+24	37
3	Paderborn	16	12	0	4	+27	36
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	11	3	2	+19	36
5	Hamburg	16	10	3	3	+17	33
6	St Pauli	16	9	6	1	+13	33
7	Greuther Furth	16	7	7	2	+5	28
8	Karlsruhe	16	8	3	5	+5	27
9	Hannover	16	8	3	5	+5	27
10	Kaiserslautern	16	6	6	4	+3	24
11	Braunschweig	16	7	3	6	+2	24
12	Nurnberg	16	7	3	6	+1	24
13	Holstein Kiel	17	6	4	7	+0	22
14	Magdeburg	16	5	4	7	-3	19
15	Regensburg	16	4	7	5	-10	19
16	Bielefeld	16	5	3	8	-1	18
17	Hansa Rostock	16	5	1	10	-8	16
18	Sandhausen	16	4	4	8	-14	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	16	9	2	5	+7	29
2	Hamburg	16	8	3	5	+6	27
3	Heidenheim	16	6	6	4	+5	24
4	St Pauli	17	7	3	7	+3	24
5	Kaiserslautern	16	5	6	5	+1	21
6	Holstein Kiel	16	5	6	5	-7	21
7	Magdeburg	17	6	3	8	-8	21
8	Hansa Rostock	16	6	3	7	-9	21
9	Paderborn	16	4	6	6	-2	18
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	5	3	8	-5	18
11	Hannover	16	4	4	8	-6	16
12	Karlsruhe	16	4	3	9	-4	15
13	Bielefeld	16	4	3	9	-7	15
14	Sandhausen	16	3	3	10	-12	12
15	Braunschweig	16	2	6	8	-17	12
16	Nurnberg	16	2	5	9	-19	11
17	Greuther Furth	16	2	4	10	-11	10
18	Regensburg	16	3	0	13	-14	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.