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Süper Lig
Referee: A Kardeşler
Galatasaray
S U T S S
2–0
Full-time
Sivasspor
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Sivasspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
2,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 32/33 matches
Win Ø 53%
75%
30%
Points per game
2,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
69%
64%
Both score Ø 56%
50%
61%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%
10 Shots 3
2 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Galatasaray 1. · Sivasspor 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 32 24 4 4 +45 76
2 Fenerbahce 32 22 5 5 +40 71
3 Besiktas 33 21 8 4 +36 71
4 Ad. Demirspor 32 18 9 5 +32 63
5 Buyuksehyr 32 15 7 10 +11 52
6 Konyaspor 33 12 13 8 +9 49
7 Kayserispor 33 15 4 14 -3 49
8 Trabzonspor 32 14 6 12 +3 48
9 Karagumruk 32 11 11 10 +10 44
10 Alanyaspor 34 11 8 15 -10 41
11 Kasimpasa 33 11 7 15 -12 40
12 Sivasspor 33 10 7 16 -7 37
13 Antalyaspor 32 10 7 15 -8 37
14 Ankaragücü 32 10 6 16 -8 36
15 İstanbulspor 33 10 5 18 -21 35
16 Giresunspor 32 7 10 15 -22 31
17 Ümraniyespor 33 7 9 17 -11 30
18 Gaziantep 33 6 7 20 -32 25
19 Hatayspor 32 6 5 21 -52 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Galatasaray Sivasspor
1–0 M. Icardi ⚽
K. Aktürkoğlu
13′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Robin Yalçın
46′
🔁 L. James
↦ J. Caicedo
46′
🔁 A. Musa
↦ C. NJie
Dries Mertens 🟨
55′
57′
🔁 K. Keita
↦ R. Yalçın
60′
🔁 E. Gökay
↦ M. Gradel
2–0 M. Icardi ⚽
S. Boey
63′
B. Yılmaz 🔁
↦ M. Rashica
66′
F. Midtsjø 🔁
↦ Sérgio Oliveira
66′
Mata 🔁
↦ D. Mertens
74′
78′
🔁 M. Albayrak
↦ H. Arslan
B. Gomis 🔁
↦ M. Icardi
87′
B. Kutlu 🔁
↦ L. Torreira
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
93 S. Boey D
25 V. Nelsson D
42 A. Bardakcı D
88 K. Karataş D
27 Sérgio Oliveira M
5 L. Torreira M
26 M. Rashica M
10 D. Mertens M
7 K. Aktürkoğlu M
99 M. Icardi F
Bench (10)
53 B. Yılmaz
6 F. Midtsjø
64 Mata
18 B. Gomis
22 B. Kutlu
34 O. Kocuk
2 L. Dubois
30 Y. Demir
23 K. Ayhan
32 S. Adekugbe

Coach: O. Buruk

Sivasspor

4-1-4-1
35 A. Vural G
13 A. Okumuş D
4 A. Appindangoyé D
88 C. Osmanpaşa D
14 S. Camara D
5 I. Cofie M
37 H. Arslan M
8 R. Yalçın M
10 C. N'Jie M
7 M. Gradel M
30 J. Caicedo F
Bench (10)
90 L. James
26 A. Musa
28 K. Keita
21 E. Gökay
96 M. Albayrak
25 M. Yıldırım
18 E. Satılmış
3 U. Çiftçi
15 C. Charisis
24 Samuel Sáiz

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,28
U
5,93
B
8,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,44
U2,5 ✓
2,75
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

A Kardeşler · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.