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NM-cupen

Referee: Tore Hansen

Brann

U S U T S

2–0

Full-time

Lillestrom

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

This season — NM-cupen · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

4,8

3,3

Scored

4,5

2,7

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+4,2

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Brann 1. · Lillestrom 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	6	6	0	0	+25	18
2	Lillestrom	6	6	0	0	+12	18
3	Bodo/Glimt	6	5	0	1	+15	15
4	Stabaek	6	4	1	1	+13	13
5	Molde	5	4	1	0	+9	13
6	Sandefjord	5	4	0	1	+8	12
7	Viking	5	4	0	1	+7	12
8	Start	4	3	1	0	+10	10
9	Rosenborg	4	3	0	1	+7	9
10	Ranheim	4	3	0	1	+6	9
11	Odd	4	3	0	1	+4	9
12	Haugesund	4	3	0	1	+2	9
13	Bryne	4	3	0	1	+0	9
14	Tromso	5	2	2	1	+10	8
15	Ham-Kam	3	2	1	0	+9	7
16	Sogndal	4	2	1	1	+7	7
17	KFUM Oslo	3	2	1	0	+5	7
18	Skeid	4	2	1	1	+3	7
19	Kjelsås	3	2	1	0	+2	7
20	Jerv	3	2	0	1	+7	6
21	Aalesund	3	2	0	1	+5	6
22	Valerenga	3	2	0	1	+4	6
23	Kristiansund	3	2	0	1	+4	6
24	Tromsdalen Uil	3	2	0	1	+3	6
25	Sandnes ULF	3	2	0	1	+2	6
26	Ull/Kisa	3	2	0	1	+2	6
27	Eidsvold	3	2	0	1	-1	6
28	Moss	3	2	0	1	-1	6
29	Fredrikstad	3	2	0	1	-4	6
30	Stjørdals-Blink	2	1	1	0	+3	4
31	Byåsen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
32	Gjøvik-Lyn	3	1	1	1	-6	4
33	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	0	1	+6	3
34	Flekkerøy	2	1	0	1	+5	3
35	Stromsgodset	2	1	0	1	+3	3
36	Mjondalen	2	1	0	1	+3	3
37	Øygarden	1	1	0	0	+3	3
38	Brattvåg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
39	Vidar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
40	hodd	2	1	0	1	+1	3
41	Brumunddal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Egersund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Sotra	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Ullern	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	Nardo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
46	Arendal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Kongsvinger	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Strindheim	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Levanger	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Alta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Kvik Halden	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	Frigg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Elverum	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Notodden	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	Bjarg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
56	Skjervøy	2	1	0	1	-2	3
57	Flint	2	1	0	1	-3	3
58	Os	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	Harstad	2	1	0	1	-4	3
60	Træff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Mjølner	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Frøya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Raufoss	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Follo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Ørn Horten	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Vard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
67	Junkeren	2	0	1	1	-1	1
68	Fana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
69	Grorud	2	0	1	1	-1	1
70	Fram	2	0	1	1	-1	1
71	Asane	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Gjelleråsen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Lyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Ottestad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Bærum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Senja	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Lokomotiv Oslo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Eik-Tønsberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Åssiden IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Fyllingsdalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Fløya	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Kolstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Finnsnes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Sola	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Djerv	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Melhus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Gneist	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Strommen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Herd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Tiller	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Orkla	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	Bremnes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Halsen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Surnadal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Vardeneset	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Skjetten	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Asker	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	Fjøra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Gamle Oslo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
108	Åskollen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
109	Førde	1	0	0	1	-4	0
110	Kolbu / KK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
111	Hønefoss	1	0	0	1	-4	0
112	Oppsal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
113	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-4	0
114	Staal Jørpeland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
115	Rana	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Hei	1	0	0	1	-5	0
117	Rosseland	1	0	0	1	-5	0
118	Floro	1	0	0	1	-5	0
119	Verdal	1	0	0	1	-6	0
120	Vindbjart	1	0	0	1	-6	0
121	Randesund	1	0	0	1	-6	0
122	Dahle	1	0	0	1	-7	0
123	Eidsvold IF	1	0	0	1	-7	0
124	Voss	1	0	0	1	-7	0
125	Furnes	1	0	0	1	-7	0
126	Express	1	0	0	1	-7	0
127	Østsiden	1	0	0	1	-7	0
128	Ishavsbyen	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Viking	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Lillestrom	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Stabaek	3	1	1	1	+3	4
5	Kjelsås	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Byåsen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Gjøvik-Lyn	3	1	1	1	-6	4
8	Sandefjord	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Vidar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Brumunddal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Ullern	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Tromsdalen Uil	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Elverum	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Ull/Kisa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Eidsvold	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Bjarg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Moss	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	Flint	2	1	0	1	-3	3
20	Os	2	1	0	1	-4	3
21	Harstad	2	1	0	1	-4	3
22	Træff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Frøya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Start	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	KFUM Oslo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Ham-Kam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Follo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Junkeren	2	0	1	1	-1	1
29	Fram	2	0	1	1	-1	1
30	Gjelleråsen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Tromso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Jerv	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Arendal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Lyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Flekkerøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Sogndal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Egersund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Levanger	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Bærum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Vard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Lokomotiv Oslo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Åssiden IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Fløya	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Valerenga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Sotra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Kvik Halden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Frigg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Fana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Brattvåg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Finnsnes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Skeid	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Sola	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Djerv	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Melhus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Strindheim	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Gneist	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Sandnes ULF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Herd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Tiller	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Orkla	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Bremnes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Halsen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Surnadal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Vardeneset	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Skjervøy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	hodd	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Skjetten	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	Fjøra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Gamle Oslo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Åskollen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	Førde	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	Kolbu / KK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	Ranheim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Hønefoss	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Oppsal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	Rana	1	0	0	1	-4	0
88	Hei	1	0	0	1	-5	0
89	Rosseland	1	0	0	1	-5	0
90	Floro	1	0	0	1	-5	0
91	Verdal	1	0	0	1	-6	0
92	Vindbjart	1	0	0	1	-6	0
93	Randesund	1	0	0	1	-6	0
94	Dahle	1	0	0	1	-7	0
95	Eidsvold IF	1	0	0	1	-7	0
96	Voss	1	0	0	1	-7	0
97	Furnes	1	0	0	1	-7	0
98	Express	1	0	0	1	-7	0
99	Østsiden	1	0	0	1	-7	0
100	Ishavsbyen	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Bodo/Glimt	5	4	0	1	+13	12
3	Lillestrom	4	4	0	0	+10	12
4	Brann	3	3	0	0	+14	9
5	Stabaek	3	3	0	0	+10	9
6	Start	3	3	0	0	+10	9
7	Ranheim	3	3	0	0	+10	9
8	Rosenborg	4	3	0	1	+7	9
9	Sandefjord	4	3	0	1	+5	9
10	Odd	4	3	0	1	+4	9
11	Haugesund	4	3	0	1	+2	9
12	Bryne	4	3	0	1	+0	9
13	Tromso	4	2	2	0	+11	8
14	Sogndal	3	2	1	0	+8	7
15	Skeid	3	2	1	0	+5	7
16	Ham-Kam	2	2	0	0	+9	6
17	Jerv	2	2	0	0	+8	6
18	Valerenga	2	2	0	0	+5	6
19	Aalesund	3	2	0	1	+5	6
20	KFUM Oslo	2	2	0	0	+5	6
21	Viking	3	2	0	1	+4	6
22	Kristiansund	3	2	0	1	+4	6
23	Sandnes ULF	2	2	0	0	+4	6
24	Fredrikstad	3	2	0	1	-4	6
25	Stjørdals-Blink	2	1	1	0	+3	4
26	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	0	1	+6	3
27	Flekkerøy	1	1	0	0	+6	3
28	hodd	1	1	0	0	+4	3
29	Brattvåg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
30	Stromsgodset	2	1	0	1	+3	3
31	Mjondalen	2	1	0	1	+3	3
32	Øygarden	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Ull/Kisa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
34	Tromsdalen Uil	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Egersund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Strindheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Sotra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Nardo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Kjelsås	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Arendal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Moss	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Kvik Halden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Levanger	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Eidsvold	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Notodden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Skjervøy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Frigg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Kongsvinger	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Alta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Vard	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Mjølner	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Fana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Raufoss	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Ørn Horten	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Grorud	2	0	1	1	-1	1
56	Asane	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Ottestad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Senja	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Eik-Tønsberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Fyllingsdalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Kolstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Strommen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Asker	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Staal Jørpeland	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.