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Premiership
Referee: B Madden
Ross County
T S T T U
1–3
Full-time
St Mirren
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 27%
24%
29%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
47%
32%
Both score Ø 41%
41%
41%
Average goals
2,6
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 10. · St Mirren 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 35 29 6 0 +69 93
2 Celtic 34 21 9 4 +48 72
3 Hibernian 35 17 8 10 +13 59
4 Aberdeen 34 14 10 10 +2 52
5 Livingston 35 12 8 15 -8 44
6 Dundee United 34 10 12 12 -13 42
7 ST Johnstone 35 10 11 14 -7 41
8 Motherwell 35 11 8 16 -17 41
9 St Mirren 34 10 10 14 -9 40
10 Ross County 34 8 6 20 -33 30
11 Kilmarnock 34 8 5 21 -14 29
12 Hamilton 35 6 9 20 -31 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Feb -21 St Mirren – Ross County 1–0 26. Dec -20 Ross County – St Mirren 0–2 22. Aug -20 St Mirren – Ross County 1–1 23. Nov -19 St Mirren – Ross County 2–1 14. Sep -19 Ross County – St Mirren 2–1

Match report

Ross County St Mirren
1–0 J. White ⚽
J. Tillson
18′
Half-time 1–1
50′
⚽ L. Erwin 1–1
R. Tait
J. Hylton 🔁
↦ I. Vigurs
67′
R. Charles-Cook 🔁
↦ M. Gardyne
67′
H. Paton 🔁
↦ B. McKay
67′
68′
🔁 C. Quaner
↦ K. Dennis
68′
🔁 K. McAllister
↦ J. Henderson
71′
⚽ Í. Durmuş 1–2
C. Quaner
B. Spittal 🔁
↦ J. Naismith
76′
O. Shaw 🔁
↦ R. Draper
82′
Leo Fuhr Hjelde 🟨
90′
92′
⚽ J. McGrath 1–3
94′
🔁 D. Finlayson
↦ R. Tait
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Ross County

4-4-1-1
1 R. Laidlaw G
15 K. Watson D
23 J. Naismith D
16 A. Iacovitti D
4 L. Hjelde D
11 I. Vigurs M
7 M. Gardyne M
6 R. Draper M
22 J. Tillson M
9 B. McKay F
26 J. White F
Bench (9)
14 J. Hylton
17 R. Charles-Cook
24 H. Paton
20 B. Spittal
8 O. Shaw
25 C. Donaldson
21 J. Hilton
18 S. Kelly
19 C. Lakin

Coach: J. Hughes

St Mirren

4-4-2
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait M
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
5 C. McCarthy D
11 Í. Durmuş D
17 J. McGrath M
14 C. MacPherson M
30 J. Henderson M
20 K. Dennis F
23 L. Erwin F
Bench (5)
45 C. Quaner
10 K. McAllister
15 D. Finlayson
26 D. Lyness
3 B. Mason

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,00
🔒
U
3,22
🔒
B ✓
2,38
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,28
🔒
U2,5
1,61
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Madden · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.