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Süper Lig

Referee: Bahattin Simsek

Kasimpasa

T T S T U

1–4

Full-time

Hatayspor

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Hatayspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

This season — Süper Lig · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 39%

32%

45%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

45%

55%

Both score Ø 43%

41%

45%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

15 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kasimpasa 12. · Hatayspor 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	22	15	3	4	+21	48
2	Galatasaray	22	14	3	5	+28	45
3	Besiktas	22	14	3	5	+23	45
4	Trabzonspor	22	11	6	5	+4	39
5	Alanyaspor	22	11	5	6	+16	38
6	Gaziantep	22	9	8	5	+7	35
7	Hatayspor	22	10	5	7	+7	35
8	Karagumruk	22	9	7	6	+6	34
9	Antalyaspor	22	7	9	6	-5	30
10	Yeni Malatyaspor	22	7	8	7	+1	29
11	Goztep	22	6	8	8	+4	26
12	Kasimpasa	22	7	5	10	-8	26
13	Rizespor	22	6	8	8	-9	26
14	Sivasspor	22	5	10	7	-6	25
15	Konyaspor	21	6	6	9	+0	24
16	Buyuksehyr	22	6	6	10	-13	24
17	Kayserispor	22	6	5	11	-11	23
18	Erzurumspor	22	5	6	11	-15	21
19	Genclerbirligi	22	5	5	12	-21	20
20	Ankaragücü	21	5	3	13	-10	18
21	Denizlispor	22	4	5	13	-19	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	11	8	2	1	+17	26
2	Besiktas	11	8	1	2	+19	25
3	Galatasaray	11	7	3	1	+21	24
4	Karagumruk	11	7	2	2	+10	23
5	Gaziantep	11	6	4	1	+9	22
6	Fenerbahce	11	7	1	3	+7	22
7	Yeni Malatyaspor	11	5	4	2	+6	19
8	Rizespor	11	5	4	2	+3	19
9	Trabzonspor	11	6	1	4	+1	19
10	Hatayspor	11	5	3	3	+6	18
11	Antalyaspor	11	5	3	3	-1	18
12	Kasimpasa	11	5	2	4	-1	17
13	Goztep	11	4	4	3	+8	16
14	Konyaspor	11	4	4	3	+4	16
15	Buyuksehyr	11	3	5	3	-1	14
16	Ankaragücü	10	4	1	5	+1	13
17	Kayserispor	11	3	3	5	-4	12
18	Genclerbirligi	11	3	3	5	-5	12
19	Sivasspor	11	2	5	4	-3	11
20	Erzurumspor	11	1	5	5	-6	8
21	Denizlispor	11	2	2	7	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	11	8	2	1	+14	26
2	Galatasaray	11	7	0	4	+7	21
3	Besiktas	11	6	2	3	+4	20
4	Trabzonspor	11	5	5	1	+3	20
5	Hatayspor	11	5	2	4	+1	17
6	Sivasspor	11	3	5	3	-3	14
7	Gaziantep	11	3	4	4	-2	13
8	Erzurumspor	11	4	1	6	-9	13
9	Alanyaspor	11	3	3	5	-1	12
10	Antalyaspor	11	2	6	3	-4	12
11	Karagumruk	11	2	5	4	-4	11
12	Kayserispor	11	3	2	6	-7	11
13	Goztep	11	2	4	5	-4	10
14	Yeni Malatyaspor	11	2	4	5	-5	10
15	Buyuksehyr	11	3	1	7	-12	10
16	Kasimpasa	11	2	3	6	-7	9
17	Denizlispor	11	2	3	6	-12	9
18	Konyaspor	10	2	2	6	-4	8
19	Genclerbirligi	11	2	2	7	-16	8
20	Rizespor	11	1	4	6	-12	7
21	Ankaragücü	11	1	2	8	-11	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.