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Ligue 2

Troyes

U S S S T

1–1

Full-time

Toulouse

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 59%

61%

57%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

48%

57%

Both score Ø 50%

48%

52%

Average goals

2,3

3,1

Scored

1,5

1,9

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

17 Shots 8

10 Shots on target 5

9 Corners 0

16 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 1. · Toulouse 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	23	14	5	4	+16	47
2	Toulouse	23	13	6	4	+16	45
3	Grenoble	24	13	5	6	+13	44
4	Clermont	24	12	7	5	+19	43
5	Auxerre	24	11	7	6	+17	40
6	Paris FC	23	10	7	6	+6	37
7	Valenciennes	24	9	8	7	+5	35
8	Sochaux	24	7	11	6	+7	32
9	Amiens	24	8	8	8	+1	32
10	Ajaccio	24	8	8	8	-5	32
11	Caen	24	7	9	8	-5	30
12	Niort	24	7	9	8	-9	30
13	Rodez	24	5	12	7	-7	27
14	Le Havre	23	6	9	8	-8	27
15	Dunkerque	24	7	5	12	-10	26
16	Nancy	24	5	10	9	-5	25
17	Guingamp	24	4	11	9	-7	23
18	Chambly	24	5	8	11	-15	23
19	Pau FC	24	5	5	14	-15	20
20	Chateauroux	24	4	6	14	-14	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Grenoble	11	9	2	0	+17	29
2	Troyes	11	9	2	0	+13	29
3	Clermont	12	8	3	1	+17	27
4	Auxerre	12	8	2	2	+19	26
5	Toulouse	12	7	3	2	+9	24
6	Paris FC	12	6	4	2	+5	22
7	Ajaccio	12	5	4	3	+1	19
8	Valenciennes	12	5	3	4	+2	18
9	Amiens	12	4	6	2	+2	18
10	Caen	12	4	6	2	+0	18
11	Niort	12	4	5	3	+1	17
12	Rodez	13	4	5	4	-1	17
13	Dunkerque	12	4	4	4	+2	16
14	Sochaux	12	4	4	4	+1	16
15	Nancy	12	3	6	3	-1	15
16	Chambly	13	4	2	7	-6	14
17	Guingamp	12	2	6	4	-2	12
18	Le Havre	11	2	6	3	-2	12
19	Pau FC	11	3	3	5	-3	12
20	Chateauroux	12	3	2	7	-4	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	11	6	3	2	+7	21
2	Troyes	12	5	3	4	+3	18
3	Valenciennes	12	4	5	3	+3	17
4	Sochaux	12	3	7	2	+6	16
5	Clermont	12	4	4	4	+2	16
6	Paris FC	11	4	3	4	+1	15
7	Grenoble	13	4	3	6	-4	15
8	Le Havre	12	4	3	5	-6	15
9	Amiens	12	4	2	6	-1	14
10	Auxerre	12	3	5	4	-2	14
11	Ajaccio	12	3	4	5	-6	13
12	Niort	12	3	4	5	-10	13
13	Caen	12	3	3	6	-5	12
14	Guingamp	12	2	5	5	-5	11
15	Nancy	12	2	4	6	-4	10
16	Rodez	11	1	7	3	-6	10
17	Dunkerque	12	3	1	8	-12	10
18	Chambly	11	1	6	4	-9	9
19	Pau FC	13	2	2	9	-12	8
20	Chateauroux	12	1	4	7	-10	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.