Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lens
Rennes
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lyon
|
24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | +30 | 52 |
| 2 |
Lille
|
23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | +25 | 51 |
| 3 |
Paris SG
|
23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | +39 | 48 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 45 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | +7 | 37 |
| 6 |
Metz
|
23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 35 |
| 7 |
Lens
|
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | +1 | 35 |
| 8 |
Angers
|
23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 34 |
| 9 |
Marseille
|
21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +5 | 33 |
| 10 |
Bordeaux
|
23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 |
Montpellier
|
23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 |
Reims
|
24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -2 | 28 |
| 13 |
Brest
|
23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -7 | 26 |
| 15 |
Strasbourg
|
24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 |
St Etienne
|
23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -14 | 23 |
| 17 |
Lorient
|
23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 22 |
| 18 |
Nantes
|
23 | 3 | 10 | 10 | -15 | 19 |
| 19 |
Dijon
|
23 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -17 | 15 |
| 20 |
Nimes
|
22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -30 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Gradit
D
C. Michelin
M
F. Medina
D
L. Badé
D
S. Fofana
F
C. Doucouré
M
F. Sotoca
F
A. Muinga
F
Coach: F. Haise
H. Traoré
M
N. Aguerd
D
A. Truffert
M
J. Martin
M
E. Camavinga
M
S. Guirassy
F
M. Terrier
F
Coach: J. Stéphan
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lens
Marseille
Montpellier
Lens
Lens
Nice
Marseille
Lens
Nantes
Lens
J Stinat · 142 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.