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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Dundee United
U T U U U
1–5
Full-time
St Mirren
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,7
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 24/21 matches
Win Ø 27%
25%
29%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
42%
29%
Both score Ø 42%
46%
38%
Average goals
2,0
1,9
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 11
2 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 6. · St Mirren 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 25 22 3 0 +58 69
2 Celtic 22 13 7 2 +30 46
3 Aberdeen 23 12 6 5 +7 42
4 Hibernian 24 11 7 6 +9 40
5 Livingston 23 9 5 9 +1 32
6 Dundee United 24 6 10 8 -10 28
7 Kilmarnock 23 7 3 13 -4 24
8 St Mirren 21 6 5 10 -8 23
9 ST Johnstone 24 5 8 11 -11 23
10 Ross County 25 5 5 15 -30 20
11 Motherwell 23 4 7 12 -16 19
12 Hamilton 23 5 4 14 -26 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Nov -20 St Mirren – Dundee United 0–0 19. Sep -20 Dundee United – St Mirren 2–1

Match report

Dundee United St Mirren
30′
⚽ J. Shaughnessy 0–1
C. McCarthy
42′
⚽ J. McGrath 0–2
Mark Connolly 🟨
45′
Lawrence Shankland 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–3
46′
⚽ J. McGrath 0–3
K. Fotheringham 🔁
↦ D. Powers
46′
1–3 I. Harkes ⚽
L. Bolton
54′
55′
🟨 Ethan Erhahon
56′
🔁 K. Dennis
↦ E. Brophy
71′
🔁 D. Connolly
↦ J. Obika
L. Appéré 🔁
↦ L. Bolton
72′
80′
🔁 K. McAllister
↦ Í. Durmuş
80′
⚽ D. Connolly 1–4
K. Dennis
85′
⚽ K. Dennis 1–5
R. Flynn
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Dundee United

4-1-4-1
19 D. Mehmet G
6 M. Reynolds D
5 M. Connolly D
2 L. Smith D
17 J. Robson D
4 D. Powers M
20 L. Bolton M
23 I. Harkes M
10 N. Clark M
9 M. McNulty M
24 L. Shankland F
Bench (8)
25 K. Fotheringham
27 L. Appéré
8 P. Pawlett
26 C. Mochrie
12 R. Edwards
1 B. Siegrist
30 L. Neilson
3 A. Spörle

Coach: M. Mellon

St Mirren

4-4-2
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
5 C. McCarthy D
8 R. Flynn M
11 Í. Durmuş M
17 J. McGrath M
25 E. Erhahon M
9 J. Obika F
29 E. Brophy F
Bench (8)
20 K. Dennis
21 D. Connolly
10 K. McAllister
15 D. Finlayson
6 N. Sheron
30 J. Henderson
33 L. Jamieson
26 D. Lyness

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,93
🔒
U
3,29
🔒
B ✓
2,39
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,16
🔒
U2,5
1,68
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.