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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Hibernian
T T U U U
2–2
Full-time
Ross County
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Ross County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,2
This season — Premiership · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
11%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
44%
78%
Both score Ø 56%
67%
44%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
2,0
1,9
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

13 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 5
15 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 11. · Ross County 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 9 7 1 1 +21 22
2 Rangers 9 7 1 1 +21 22
3 Motherwell 9 5 1 3 +2 16
4 Aberdeen 9 4 3 2 +3 15
5 Kilmarnock 9 4 2 3 +0 14
6 Ross County 9 3 3 3 -7 12
7 Livingston 9 3 2 4 +0 11
8 Hamilton 9 2 3 4 -8 9
9 St Mirren 9 2 2 5 -3 8
10 Hearts 9 1 4 4 -4 7
11 Hibernian 9 1 4 4 -10 7
12 ST Johnstone 9 0 4 5 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Ross County
Melker Hallberg 🟨
24′
Half-time 0–0
D. Horgan 🔁
↦ M. Hallberg
46′
1–0 D. Horgan ⚽
J. Naismith
50′
52′
🟨 Liam Fontaine
2–0 S. Allan ⚽
56′
65′
🔁 B. Graham
↦ E. Henderson
72′
🔁 J. Chalmers
↦ L. Spence
72′
🔁 J. Mullin
↦ R. Foster
74′
⚽ B. Graham 2–1
S. Kelly
F. Murray 🔁
↦ J. Newell
81′
A. Jackson 🔁
↦ S. Allan
88′
90′
⚽ J. Chalmers 2–2
M. Fraser
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
28 C. Maxwell G
16 L. Stevenson D
4 P. Hanlon D
21 J. Naismith D
25 R. Porteous D
23 S. Allan M
11 J. Newell M
6 J. Vela M
20 M. Hallberg D
14 S. Mallan M
22 F. Kamberi F
Bench (7)
7 D. Horgan
33 F. Murray
18 A. Jackson
17 T. James
1 O. Marciano
19 G. Middleton
32 O. Shaw

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Ross County

4-4-1-1
1 R. Laidlaw G
18 R. Foster D
4 L. Fontaine D
15 K. Watson D
2 M. Fraser D
3 S. Kelly D
7 M. Gardyne F
6 R. Draper M
16 L. Spence M
17 E. Henderson M
9 B. McKay F
Bench (7)
19 B. Graham
23 J. Chalmers
14 J. Mullin
20 B. Spittal
24 H. Paton
41 T. Dixon-Hodge
12 T. Grivosti

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,74
U ✓
3,85
B
4,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,07
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.