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Super League

Referee: Felix Zwayer

Panathinaikos

U S U S S

3–1

Full-time

PAOK

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos PAOK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,72 xG 1,02

71% Possession 29%

25 Shots 5

11 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

5 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	4	3	1	0	+14	+4.1	10
2	Panetolikos	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.8	9
3	Olympiakos	3	2	1	0	+2	+5.0	7
4	PAOK	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.9	6
5	OFI Crete	4	2	0	2	+2	-0.4	6
6	Aris Thessalonikis	3	2	0	1	-3	-1.4	6
7	Aris	3	2	0	1	-3	–	6
8	Volos NFC	3	0	2	1	-2	-1.0	2
9	Atromitos	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.4	1
10	Kifisia	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.1	1
11	Kalamata	4	0	1	3	-4	-2.5	1
12	Iraklis	2	0	1	1	-4	-2.4	1
13	Asteras Tripolis	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.2	0
14	Levadeiakos	3	0	0	3	-8	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	3	3	0	0	+14	+4.8	9
2	Panetolikos	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.8	6
3	OFI Crete	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.1	6
4	PAOK	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.6	3
5	Aris Thessalonikis	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
6	Aris	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
7	Olympiakos	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.9	3
8	Volos NFC	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.5	2
9	Kifisia	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
10	Atromitos	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
11	Asteras Tripolis	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
12	Kalamata	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.3	0
13	Levadeiakos	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	4
2	Panetolikos	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
3	PAOK	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
4	Aris Thessalonikis	2	1	0	1	-4	-1.8	3
5	Aris	2	1	0	1	-4	–	3
6	AEK	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
7	Kalamata	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.2	1
8	Iraklis	2	0	1	1	-4	-2.4	1
9	Atromitos	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.9	0
10	OFI Crete	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.4	0
11	Asteras Tripolis	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
12	Volos NFC	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
13	Kifisia	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
14	Levadeiakos	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.