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Super League
Referee: I Peljto
PAOK
S S S U T
2–0
Full-time
Panathinaikos
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 15/14 matches
Win Ø 58%
73%
43%
Points per game
2,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
47%
71%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
2,1
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
16 Shots 3
11 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 9
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 3. · Panathinaikos 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 17 12 4 1 +24 40
2 AEK 15 12 1 2 +15 37
3 PAOK 15 11 2 2 +19 35
4 Levadeiakos 15 7 5 3 +17 26
5 Volos NFC 16 8 1 7 -2 25
6 Panathinaikos 14 6 5 3 +6 23
7 Aris Thessalonikis 15 5 5 5 -3 20
8 Aris 15 5 5 5 -3 20
9 Kifisia 16 4 6 6 -2 18
10 Panetolikos 16 5 3 8 -8 18
11 OFI Crete 14 5 0 9 -8 15
12 Asteras Tripolis 17 2 8 7 -5 14
13 Atromitos 16 3 4 9 -7 13
14 Larisa 16 1 6 9 -15 9
15 Panserraikos 15 1 3 11 -28 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK Panathinaikos
1–0 G. Konstantelias
Taison
39′
43′
🟨 Erik Palmer-Brown
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Karol Świderski
A. Tsiftsis 🔁
↦ J. Pavlenka
51′
2–0 A. Mythou
A. Zivkovic
53′
Jonjoe Kenny 🟨
57′
66′
🔁 A. Gnezda Cerin
↦ M. Siopis
66′
🔁 M. Pantovic
↦ K. Swiderski
K. Thymianis 🔁
↦ A. Vogliacco
76′
76′
🔁 G. Kotsiras
↦ T. Jedvaj
76′
🔁 F. Djuricic
↦ A. Zaroury
F. Chalov 🔁
↦ A. Mythou
77′
81′
🟨 Anastasios Bakasetas
89′
🔁 V. Taborda
↦ Tete
L. Ivanusec 🔁
↦ Taison
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pavlenka G
3 J. Kenny D
16 T. Kedziora D
4 A. Vogliacco D
21 A. R. Baba D
8 S. Meite M
27 M. Ozdoev M
14 A. Zivkovic M
65 G. Konstantelias M
11 Taison M
56 A. Mythou F
Bench (11)
99 A. Tsiftsis
88 L. Gugeshashvili
25 K. Thymianis
97 D. Bataoulas
32 G. Taylor
2 M. Camara
22 A. Bianco
18 L. Ivanusec
52 D. Chatsidis
77 K. Despodov
9 F. Chalov

Coach: Razvan Lucescu

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
70 K. Kotsaris
21 T. Jedvaj D
14 E. Palmer-Brown D
5 A. Touba D
2 D. Calabria D
6 M. Siopis M
4 P. Chirivella M
10 Tete M
11 A. Bakasetas M
9 A. Zaroury M
19 K. Swiderski F
Bench (12)
69 B. Dragowski
41 L. Stamellos
15 S. I. Ingason
16 A. Gnezda Cerin
17 D. Mancini
20 V. Taborda
25 F. Mladenovic
27 G. Kotsiras
31 F. Djuricic
44 G. Nikas
52 T. Vilhena
72 M. Pantovic

Coach: Rafael Benitez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,96
U
3,26
B
3,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

I Peljto · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.