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Super League

Referee: D Sylwestrzak

PAOK

S S U S T

0–0

Full-time

Panathinaikos

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Panathinaikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 59%

64%

54%

Points per game

2,2

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

57%

54%

Both score Ø 48%

39%

57%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

0,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,55 xG 0,33

55% Possession 45%

7 Shots 9

1 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 3. · Panathinaikos 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	28	19	7	2	+33	+9.5	64
2	Olympiakos	28	18	8	2	+35	+12.0	62
3	PAOK	28	18	7	3	+37	+7.0	61
4	Panathinaikos	28	15	8	5	+20	+8.8	53
5	Levadeiakos	30	12	10	8	+14	-7.3	46
6	OFI Crete	29	12	3	14	-6	-8.0	39
7	Volos NFC	29	9	6	14	-14	+3.0	33
8	Atromitos	29	7	10	12	-5	-1.4	31
9	Aris Thessalonikis	27	6	13	8	-7	-3.0	31
10	Aris	27	6	13	8	-7	–	31
11	Panetolikos	29	8	6	15	-13	-2.5	30
12	Kifisia	29	6	10	13	-12	-0.9	28
13	Larisa	29	5	11	13	-19	-6.0	26
14	Panserraikos	29	5	7	17	-38	-6.3	22
15	Asteras Tripolis	29	4	9	16	-18	-5.0	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	14	12	2	0	+26	+4.6	38
2	AEK	14	12	1	1	+21	+5.9	37
3	Olympiakos	14	10	3	1	+20	+5.0	33
4	Panathinaikos	14	9	4	1	+17	+3.9	31
5	Levadeiakos	16	8	5	3	+17	-3.6	29
6	OFI Crete	14	7	0	7	+6	-3.8	21
7	Volos NFC	15	5	6	4	-3	+4.3	21
8	Kifisia	15	4	4	7	-3	+1.3	16
9	Aris Thessalonikis	13	2	9	2	-1	+2.4	15
10	Aris	13	2	9	2	-1	–	15
11	Larisa	14	3	6	5	-8	+0.2	15
12	Asteras Tripolis	15	3	5	7	-2	-1.6	14
13	Panetolikos	15	4	2	9	-9	+1.5	14
14	Panserraikos	14	3	3	8	-16	-4.0	12
15	Atromitos	14	2	5	7	-5	+0.1	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	8	5	1	+15	+7.0	29
2	AEK	14	7	6	1	+12	+3.6	27
3	PAOK	14	6	5	3	+11	+2.4	23
4	Panathinaikos	14	6	4	4	+3	+4.9	22
5	Atromitos	15	5	5	5	+0	-1.5	20
6	OFI Crete	15	5	3	7	-12	-4.2	18
7	Levadeiakos	14	4	5	5	-3	-3.7	17
8	Panetolikos	14	4	4	6	-4	-4.0	16
9	Aris Thessalonikis	14	4	4	6	-6	-5.3	16
10	Aris	14	4	4	6	-6	–	16
11	Kifisia	14	2	6	6	-9	-2.2	12
12	Volos NFC	14	4	0	10	-11	-1.3	12
13	Larisa	15	2	5	8	-11	-6.2	11
14	Panserraikos	15	2	4	9	-22	-2.3	10
15	Asteras Tripolis	14	1	4	9	-16	-3.3	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.