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Super League
Referee: F Polychronis
OFI Crete
S U T S T
0–5
Full-time
PAOK
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

OFI Crete PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,3
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 44%
39%
48%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

38% Possession 62%
6 Shots 23
1 Shots on target 12
4 Blocked shots 6
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match OFI Crete 8. · PAOK 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 23 15 5 3 +22 50
2 AEK 22 14 4 4 +24 46
3 Panathinaikos 22 12 8 2 +10 44
4 PAOK 23 11 5 7 +12 38
5 Asteras Tripolis 23 11 5 7 +6 38
6 Aris Thessalonikis 21 10 4 7 +3 34
7 Aris 21 10 4 7 +3 34
8 OFI Crete 23 9 6 8 +2 33
9 Panetolikos 23 9 5 9 +0 32
10 Atromitos 23 8 5 10 -1 29
11 Volos NFC 23 7 3 13 -18 24
12 Panserraikos 23 6 4 13 -11 22
13 Levadeiakos 22 3 9 10 -11 18
14 Athens Kallithea 23 2 9 12 -16 15
15 Lamia 23 1 6 16 -25 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

OFI Crete PAOK
2′
M. Samatta 0–1
5′
🟨 Shola Shoretire
8′
D. Pelkas 0–2
Levan Shengelia ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
11′
Levan Shengelia 🟥
12′
29′
ℹ️ Dimitrios Pelkas
VAR: Penalty confirmed
30′
S. Schwab 0–3
43′
🟨 Ioannis Michailidis
Half-time 0–3
46′
ℹ️ Dimitrios Pelkas
VAR: Goal cancelled
Taxiarchis Fountas 🟨
47′
54′
🔁 S. Peña
↦ S. Shoretire
58′
G. Michailidis 0–4
E. Salcedo 🔁
↦ A. Jung
59′
G. Apostolakis 🔁
↦ T. Fountas
59′
67′
M. Samatta 0–5
D. Pelkas
M. Bakić 🔁
↦ Z. Karachalios
71′
Adrián Riera 🔁
↦ G. Theodosoulakis
71′
72′
🔁 A. Baba
↦ Jonny
72′
🔁 Vieirinha
↦ S. Schwab
81′
🔁 O. Colley
↦ G. Michailidis
81′
🔁 K. Thymianis
↦ S. Meïté
K. Lewis 🔁
↦ I. Chatzitheodoridis
83′
88′
🟨 Mateusz Wieteska
Eddie Salcedo 🟨
91′
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

OFI Crete

4-2-3-1
31 N. Christogeorgos G
4 N. Marinakis D
22 G. Christopoulos D
30 J. Silva D
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis D
14 T. Androutsos M
6 Z. Karachalios M
27 L. Shengelia M
11 T. Fountas M
46 G. Theodosoulakis M
29 A. Jung F
Bench (9)
9 E. Salcedo
45 G. Apostolakis
88 M. Bakić
7 Adrián Riera
34 K. Lewis
1 D. Naumov
19 F. Zanelatto
10 J. Neira
5 Bressan

Coach: M. Rastavac

PAOK

4-2-2-2
42 D. Kotarski G
23 Joan Sastre D
28 M. Wieteska D
5 G. Michailidis D
19 Jonny D
82 S. Meïté M
22 S. Schwab M
47 S. Shoretire M
7 G. Konstantelias M
80 D. Pelkas F
70 M. Samatta F
Bench (9)
4 S. Peña
21 A. Baba
20 Vieirinha
15 O. Colley
25 K. Thymianis
24 M. Tsaousis
71 Brandon Thomas
54 K. Balomenos
99 A. Tsiftsis

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,61
U
3,52
B ✓
1,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,96
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Polychronis · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.