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Super League
Panathinaikos
S S S S T
0–1
Full-time
Aris
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,0
This season — Super League · 36/33 matches
Win Ø 55%
67%
42%
Points per game
2,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
67%
42%
Both score Ø 42%
42%
42%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
2,3
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

21 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 1
9 Corners 1
14 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 3. · Aris 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 37 25 10 2 +49 85
2 Olympiakos 37 25 5 7 +49 80
3 Panathinaikos 36 24 5 7 +51 77
4 PAOK 35 21 6 8 +44 69
5 Aris Thessalonikis 33 14 7 12 +5 49
6 Aris 33 14 7 12 +5 49
7 Lamia 37 10 9 18 -32 39
8 OFI Crete 34 8 14 12 -13 38
9 Asteras Tripolis 34 11 5 18 -16 38
10 Atromitos 34 8 13 13 -16 37
11 Panserraikos 34 8 12 14 -19 36
12 Panetolikos 34 8 9 17 -21 33
13 Volos NFC 34 8 9 17 -23 33
14 Kifisia 34 5 12 17 -32 27
15 Giannina 34 4 11 19 -31 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,28
U
5,29
B ✓
9,23
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,63
U2,5 ✓
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.