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Super League

Referee: E Eskås

PAOK

U S S U U

2–0

Full-time

AEK

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,8

2,7

Conceded

0,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+2,3

This season — Super League · 24/23 matches

Win Ø 66%

54%

78%

Points per game

2,0

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

42%

52%

Both score Ø 32%

38%

26%

Average goals

2,1

2,5

Scored

1,5

2,1

Conceded

0,6

0,4

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

5 Shots 19

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 9

2 Offside 5

15 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 4. · AEK 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	25	19	3	3	+24	60
2	AEK	23	18	2	3	+40	56
3	Olympiakos	25	15	7	3	+31	52
4	PAOK	24	13	9	2	+20	48
5	Volos NFC	25	11	5	9	-8	38
6	Aris Thessalonikis	22	9	4	9	+9	31
7	Aris	22	9	4	9	+9	31
8	Panetolikos	25	8	6	11	-9	30
9	Atromitos	22	6	8	8	-1	26
10	OFI Crete	23	5	9	9	-5	24
11	Asteras Tripolis	25	4	12	9	-13	24
12	Giannina	24	4	10	10	-18	22
13	Ionikos	25	4	6	15	-19	18
14	Levadeiakos	24	2	8	14	-22	14
15	Lamia	24	1	9	14	-38	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	12	11	0	1	+26	33
2	Panathinaikos	13	10	2	1	+12	32
3	Olympiakos	12	9	2	1	+20	29
4	PAOK	12	8	3	1	+10	27
5	Aris Thessalonikis	11	7	2	2	+14	23
6	Aris	11	7	2	2	+14	23
7	Asteras Tripolis	13	4	7	2	+3	19
8	Volos NFC	12	6	1	5	-5	19
9	Atromitos	11	4	6	1	+5	18
10	Panetolikos	13	4	3	6	-5	15
11	Giannina	12	3	5	4	-9	14
12	Levadeiakos	12	2	5	5	-7	11
13	Ionikos	12	2	5	5	-8	11
14	OFI Crete	11	2	4	5	-5	10
15	Lamia	12	1	4	7	-17	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	12	9	1	2	+12	28
2	AEK	11	7	2	2	+14	23
3	Olympiakos	13	6	5	2	+11	23
4	PAOK	12	5	6	1	+10	21
5	Volos NFC	13	5	4	4	-3	19
6	Panetolikos	12	4	3	5	-4	15
7	OFI Crete	12	3	5	4	+0	14
8	Aris Thessalonikis	11	2	2	7	-5	8
9	Aris	11	2	2	7	-5	8
10	Atromitos	11	2	2	7	-6	8
11	Giannina	12	1	5	6	-9	8
12	Ionikos	13	2	1	10	-11	7
13	Asteras Tripolis	12	0	5	7	-16	5
14	Lamia	12	0	5	7	-21	5
15	Levadeiakos	12	0	3	9	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.