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Super League
Referee: A Sidiropoulos
Ionikos
U T T T T
1–2
Full-time
AEK
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ionikos AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,7
Scored
0,2
2,2
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,7
This season — Super League · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 40%
5%
74%
Points per game
0,4
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
37%
42%
Both score Ø 37%
47%
26%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
0,6
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,4
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

26% Possession 74%
9 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 10
2 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 17
5 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ionikos 15. · AEK 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 19 15 3 1 +22 48
2 AEK 19 14 2 3 +30 44
3 Olympiakos 20 12 5 3 +22 41
4 PAOK 20 11 7 2 +16 40
5 Volos NFC 21 9 5 7 -9 32
6 Aris Thessalonikis 19 9 4 6 +14 31
7 Aris 19 9 4 6 +14 31
8 Atromitos 19 6 6 7 +0 24
9 Panetolikos 21 6 5 10 -6 23
10 OFI Crete 20 4 8 8 -7 20
11 Asteras Tripolis 21 3 9 9 -14 18
12 Giannina 20 4 6 10 -18 18
13 Levadeiakos 20 2 7 11 -15 13
14 Lamia 19 1 8 10 -28 11
15 Ionikos 19 1 5 13 -21 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ionikos AEK
Bandiougou Fadiga 🟨
35′
1–0 Sebá
B. Fadiga
38′
41′
🟨 Domagoj Vida
Half-time 1–0
F. Antunes 🔁
↦ Hugo Sousa
50′
55′
🟨 Damian Szymański
60′
🟨 Harold Moukoudi
62′
🔁 Paolo Fernandes
↦ T. van Weert
63′
🔁 M. Gaćinović
↦ D. Szymański
Georgios Valerianos 🟨
64′
Jacques-Alaixys Romao 🟨
69′
74′
🔁 P. Mantalos
↦ O. Pineda
74′
🔁 S. Zuber
↦ N. Amrabat
S. Rumbullaku 🔁
↦ B. Fadiga
75′
82′
D. Vida 1–1
Paolo Fernandes
José Alberto Cañas 🟨
83′
Fabien Antunes 🟨
84′
V. Mantzis 🔁
↦ K. Woolery
88′
92′
S. Zuber 1–2
P. Mantalos
94′
🟨 Steven Zuber
98′
🟨 Lazaros Rota
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ionikos

3-5-2
94 L. Choutesiotis G
16 D. Chygrynskiy D
3 Hugo Sousa D
15 G. Valerianos D
66 E. Šakić M
11 K. Woolery M
24 A. Romao M
87 Cañas M
92 Sebá M
75 B. Fadiga F
22 G. Migas F
Bench (9)
6 F. Antunes
20 S. Rumbullaku
99 V. Mantzis
26 Jerson Cabral
30 G. Christodoulou
34 M. Lovera
4 K. Tsirigotis
91 C. Eleftheriadis
5 R. Chibsah

Coach: D. Spanos

AEK

4-3-1-2
30 G. Athanasiadis G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
2 H. Moukoudi D
28 E. Hajisafi D
5 N. Amrabat M
4 D. Szymański M
13 O. Pineda M
6 J. Jønsson M
9 T. van Weert F
11 S. Araújo F
Bench (9)
22 Paolo Fernandes
8 M. Gaćinović
20 P. Mantalos
10 S. Zuber
37 V. Radonja
24 G. Mitoglou
31 G. Tzavellas
14 A. Fransson
1 C. Stanković

Coach: M. Almeyda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
12,65
U
5,84
B ✓
1,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Sidiropoulos · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.