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Super League
Referee: C Vergetis
Levadeiakos
T U T U T
0–2
Full-time
AEK
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levadeiakos AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,5
This season — Super League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
0%
78%
Points per game
0,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
44%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
44%
22%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,4
1,9
Conceded
1,6
0,4
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

30% Possession 70%
6 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levadeiakos 14. · AEK 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 10 10 0 0 +14 30
2 Volos NFC 10 7 2 1 +10 23
3 AEK 9 7 0 2 +13 21
4 Olympiakos 10 5 2 3 +6 17
5 PAOK 10 4 5 1 +3 17
6 Panetolikos 10 4 2 4 +2 14
7 Aris Thessalonikis 9 4 1 4 +0 13
8 Aris 9 4 1 4 +0 13
9 Atromitos 9 3 2 4 +0 11
10 Asteras Tripolis 10 1 6 3 -3 9
11 Lamia 8 1 4 3 -5 7
12 Giannina 9 1 3 5 -10 6
13 OFI Crete 8 1 2 5 -7 5
14 Levadeiakos 9 0 3 6 -10 3
15 Ionikos 10 0 3 7 -13 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levadeiakos AEK
Stephen Kwabena Hammond 🟨
16′
Giorgos Nikas 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Orbelín Pineda
50′
L. Garcia 0–1
N. Eliasson
A. Petre 🔁
↦ Jonas Toró
63′
68′
ℹ️ Mijat Gaćinović
VAR: Penalty confirmed
70′
L. Garcia 0–2
72′
🔁 J. Jønsson
↦ O. Pineda
Paulo Vinícius 🟨
77′
79′
🔁 P. Mantalos
↦ N. Eliasson
81′
🟨 Petros Mantalos
M. Škvarka 🔁
↦ S. Hammond
81′
G. Gianniotas 🔁
↦ K. LuaLua
85′
92′
🔁 K. Galanopoulos
↦ L. Garcia
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Levadeiakos

4-4-2
44 M. Marković G
6 T. Tsapras D
5 P. Vinícius D
24 P. Liagas D
30 S. Panagiotou D
11 Jonas Toró M
12 A. Mejía M
4 S. Hammond M
25 K. LuaLua M
20 Thierry Moutinho F
8 G. Nikas F
Bench (9)
9 A. Petre
26 M. Škvarka
17 G. Gianniotas
19 G. Vrakas
97 S. Stojanović
3 M. Vichos
27 K. Doumtsios
23 T. Tsirigotis
29 P. Bahanack

Coach: J. Velić

AEK

4-3-1-2
30 G. Athanasiadis G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
2 H. Moukoudi D
29 D. Sidibé D
19 N. Eliasson M
4 D. Szymański M
8 M. Gaćinović M
13 O. Pineda M
7 L. Garcia F
11 S. Araújo F
Bench (9)
6 J. Jønsson
20 P. Mantalos
25 K. Galanopoulos
14 A. Fransson
1 C. Stanković
35 M. Kosidis
24 G. Mitoglou
31 G. Tzavellas
37 V. Radonja

Coach: M. Almeyda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,76
U
4,29
B ✓
1,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Vergetis · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.