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Super League
Panathinaikos
S S T S S
2–0
Full-time
Aris
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Super League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 50%
47%
53%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
40%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,4
2,0
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 2
6 Shots on target 1
3 Corners 3
17 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 8. · Aris 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 17 14 3 0 +20 45
2 AEK 17 11 3 3 +14 36
3 PAOK 16 9 1 6 +10 28
4 Giannina 17 8 4 5 +9 28
5 Aris Thessalonikis 15 8 3 4 +4 27
6 Aris 15 8 3 4 +4 27
7 OFI Crete 17 5 9 3 +2 24
8 Panathinaikos 15 7 2 6 +12 23
9 Asteras Tripolis 17 5 5 7 +0 20
10 Ionikos 18 4 5 9 -8 17
11 Volos NFC 15 4 3 8 -6 15
12 Panetolikos 16 4 3 9 -15 15
13 Lamia 17 2 5 10 -10 11
14 Apollon 14 1 6 7 -16 9
15 Atromitos 16 2 3 11 -20 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,12
U
3,08
B
3,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,46
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.